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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Elche
T S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 16. · Sevilla 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valencia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Mallorca 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Barcelona 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Sociedad 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Levante 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Betis 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Granada 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Osasuna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Espanol 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Elche 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Celta 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Getafe 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Vallecano 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Sevilla
1–0 E. Roco
Fidel
11′
Pere Milla 🔁
↦ L. Boyé
32′
40′
Y. En-Nesyri 1–1
M. Acuña
Gonzalo Verdú 🟨
41′
Fidel 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
H. Palacios 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Verdú
54′
60′
🔁 A. Gómez
↦ I. Rakitić
60′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
60′
🔁 Rafa Mir
↦ Suso
G. Carrillo 🔁
↦ E. Roco
65′
Josema Sánchez 🔁
↦ D. Benedetto
65′
68′
🔁 T. Delaney
↦ Joan Jordán
87′
🔁 O. Idrissi
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elche

5-3-2
1 Kiko Casilla G
3 E. Roco D
22 J. Mojica D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
4 Diego González D
23 I. Marcone M
16 Fidel M
17 Josan Ferrández D
8 Raúl Guti M
18 D. Benedetto F
9 L. Boyé F
Bench (12)
10 Pere Milla
14 H. Palacios
7 G. Carrillo
24 Josema Sánchez
26 John Nwankwo
28 Lluís Andreu
13 Edgar Badia
20 P. Piatti
21 Omar Mascarell
19 Barragán
33 Jony Álamo
11 Tete Morente

Coach: Fran Escribá

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Navas D
4 K. Rekik D
19 M. Acuña D
20 Diego Carlos D
10 I. Rakitić M
25 Fernando M
7 Suso F
8 Joan Jordán M
14 Óscar Rodríguez F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
24 A. Gómez
17 E. Lamela
12 Rafa Mir
18 T. Delaney
22 O. Idrissi
36 Iván Romero
30 José Ángel Carmona
6 N. Gudelj
1 M. Dmitrović
31 Javi Díaz
2 G. Montiel
3 L. Augustinsson

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,24
U ✓
3,46
B
1,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.