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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Sevilla

S T T S U

4–0

Full-time

Oviedo

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Oviedo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 23%

33%

13%

Points per game

1,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

67%

27%

Both score Ø 44%

67%

20%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,03 xG 0,64

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sevilla 13. · Oviedo 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	14	1	2	+29	+17.2	43
2	Real Madrid	16	11	3	2	+17	+20.6	36
3	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	+18	+8.8	35
4	Ath Madrid	17	10	4	3	+14	+8.7	34
5	Espanol	16	9	3	4	+4	+6.5	30
6	Betis	15	6	6	3	+6	+6.0	24
7	Ath Bilbao	16	7	2	7	-5	+4.7	23
8	Getafe	16	6	2	8	-5	-4.1	20
9	Elche	16	4	7	5	-1	-6.3	19
10	Celta	15	4	7	4	-1	-2.7	19
11	Alaves	15	5	3	7	-2	+1.3	18
12	Vallecano	15	4	5	6	-3	+1.1	17
13	Sevilla	15	5	2	8	-4	-11.2	17
14	Mallorca	16	4	5	7	-5	-9.2	17
15	Sociedad	16	4	4	8	-4	-0.0	16
16	Osasuna	16	4	3	9	-6	-5.1	15
17	Valencia	16	3	6	7	-10	-4.8	15
18	Girona	16	3	6	7	-15	-11.8	15
19	Oviedo	15	2	4	9	-15	-13.9	10
20	Levante	15	2	3	10	-12	-6.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	9	0	0	+23	+14.6	27
2	Ath Madrid	9	8	1	0	+15	+11.9	25
3	Villarreal	8	7	1	0	+16	+7.3	22
4	Espanol	9	6	1	2	+3	+3.2	19
5	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+9	+10.9	18
6	Elche	8	4	4	0	+7	+1.5	16
7	Ath Bilbao	9	5	1	3	+0	+6.5	16
8	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+3	+2.7	14
9	Betis	8	4	1	3	+3	+3.8	13
10	Osasuna	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.2	13
11	Mallorca	8	3	4	1	+1	-1.3	13
12	Valencia	8	3	3	2	+3	+4.4	12
13	Getafe	8	3	2	3	+1	-3.0	11
14	Sociedad	8	3	1	4	-1	+2.2	10
15	Girona	8	2	3	3	-6	-7.0	9
16	Vallecano	6	1	4	1	+0	+3.0	7
17	Sevilla	7	2	1	4	-2	-2.1	7
18	Oviedo	8	1	3	4	-8	-8.1	6
19	Celta	8	0	5	3	-5	+0.1	5
20	Levante	6	0	1	5	-10	-6.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+8	+9.8	18
2	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	+6	+2.6	16
3	Celta	7	4	2	1	+4	-2.8	14
4	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+2	+1.5	13
5	Betis	7	2	5	0	+3	+2.2	11
6	Espanol	7	3	2	2	+1	+3.3	11
7	Sevilla	8	3	1	4	-2	-9.1	10
8	Vallecano	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.0	10
9	Ath Madrid	8	2	3	3	-1	-3.2	9
10	Getafe	8	3	0	5	-6	-1.1	9
11	Levante	9	2	2	5	-2	+0.6	8
12	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.8	7
13	Sociedad	8	1	3	4	-3	-2.2	6
14	Girona	8	1	3	4	-9	-4.8	6
15	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-5	-1.5	4
16	Mallorca	8	1	1	6	-6	-7.9	4
17	Oviedo	7	1	1	5	-7	-5.7	4
18	Elche	8	0	3	5	-8	-7.7	3
19	Valencia	8	0	3	5	-13	-9.3	3
20	Osasuna	9	0	2	7	-9	-6.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.