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Serie A

Referee: D Doveri

Cagliari

T U U U T

0–1

Full-time

Napoli

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 70%

70%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 9. · Napoli 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	24	18	3	3	+23	57
2	Inter	23	16	6	1	+28	54
3	Lazio	23	16	5	2	+33	53
4	Atalanta	24	13	6	5	+31	45
5	Roma	24	11	6	7	+11	39
6	Verona	24	9	8	7	+4	35
7	Parma	24	10	5	9	+2	35
8	Bologna	24	9	6	9	-2	33
9	Cagliari	23	8	8	7	+3	32
10	Milan	23	9	5	9	-6	32
11	Napoli	23	8	6	9	+2	30
12	Sassuolo	24	8	5	11	-1	29
13	Fiorentina	24	7	7	10	-4	28
14	Torino	23	8	3	12	-15	27
15	Udinese	24	7	5	12	-16	26
16	Lecce	24	6	7	11	-13	25
17	Sampdoria	24	6	5	13	-17	23
18	Genoa	24	5	7	12	-16	22
19	Brescia	24	4	4	16	-23	16
20	Spal	24	4	3	17	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	11	1	0	+19	34
2	Lazio	12	9	3	0	+26	30
3	Inter	12	7	4	1	+13	25
4	Verona	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Atalanta	12	6	2	4	+14	20
6	Parma	12	6	1	5	+6	19
7	Roma	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Udinese	12	5	3	4	-2	18
9	Cagliari	11	5	2	4	+4	17
10	Sassuolo	12	5	1	6	+3	16
11	Bologna	12	4	4	4	-2	16
12	Napoli	12	4	2	6	-2	14
13	Milan	11	3	5	3	-2	14
14	Torino	12	4	2	6	-11	14
15	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-3	13
16	Fiorentina	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Sampdoria	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Lecce	12	2	5	5	-2	11
19	Spal	11	2	2	7	-8	8
20	Brescia	12	1	3	8	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Atalanta	12	7	4	1	+17	25
3	Lazio	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Juventus	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Roma	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Milan	12	6	0	6	-4	18
7	Bologna	12	5	2	5	+0	17
8	Napoli	11	4	4	3	+4	16
9	Parma	12	4	4	4	-4	16
10	Fiorentina	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Cagliari	12	3	6	3	-1	15
12	Verona	12	3	5	4	-1	14
13	Lecce	12	4	2	6	-11	14
14	Torino	11	4	1	6	-4	13
15	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
16	Sampdoria	11	3	1	7	-10	10
17	Brescia	12	3	1	8	-12	10
18	Genoa	13	1	6	6	-13	9
19	Udinese	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Spal	13	2	1	10	-16	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.