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Serie A
Referee: F La Penna
Milan
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Bologna
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jul -20 Milan – Bologna 5–1 8. Dec -19 Bologna – Milan 2–3 6. May -19 Milan – Bologna 2–1 18. Dec -18 Bologna – Milan 0–0 29. Apr -18 Bologna – Milan 1–2

Match report

Milan Bologna
18′
🟨 Nicolás Domínguez
31′
🟨 Mitchell Dijks
1–0 Z. Ibrahimović ⚽
T. Hernández
35′
Samu Castillejo 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
A. Saelemaekers 🔁
↦ Samu Castillejo
46′
Ismaël Bennacer ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
2–0 Z. Ibrahimović ⚽
51′
57′
🔁 N. Sansone
↦ N. Domínguez
57′
🔁 A. Olsen
↦ R. Orsolini
Brahim Díaz 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
71′
Léo Duarte 🔁
↦ S. Kjær
72′
74′
🟨 Takehiro Tomiyasu
S. Tonali 🔁
↦ F. Kessié
77′
80′
🔁 M. Svanberg
↦ R. Soriano
80′
🔁 F. Santander
↦ R. Palacio
81′
🟨 Nicola Sansone
83′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ M. Barrow
Rade Krunić 🟨
86′
R. Krunić 🔁
↦ I. Bennacer
86′
88′
🟨 Mitchell Dijks
88′
🟥 Mitchell Dijks
Matteo Gabbia 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Milan

4-2-3-1
99 G. Donnarumma G
24 S. Kjær D
2 D. Calabria D
19 T. Hernández D
46 M. Gabbia D
10 H. Çalhanoğlu M
7 Samu Castillejo M
79 F. Kessié M
4 I. Bennacer M
11 Z. Ibrahimović F
12 A. Rebić M
Bench (12)
56 A. Saelemaekers
21 Brahim Díaz
43 Léo Duarte
8 S. Tonali
33 R. Krunić
90 A. Donnarumma
29 L. Colombo
20 P. Kalulu
93 D. Laxalt
27 D. Maldini
1 C. Tătărușanu
39 Lucas Paquetá

Coach: S. Pioli

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
23 Danilo D
35 M. Dijks D
14 T. Tomiyasu D
21 R. Soriano M
30 J. Schouten M
8 N. Domínguez M
24 R. Palacio F
7 R. Orsolini M
99 M. Barrow M
Bench (12)
10 N. Sansone
11 A. Olsen
32 M. Svanberg
9 F. Santander
55 E. Vignato
16 A. Poli
26 M. Juwara
15 I. M'baye
13 M. Bani
18 A. Baldursson
1 Angelo da Costa
4 S. Denswil

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
🔒
U
4,31
🔒
B
5,48
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,59
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,36
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F La Penna · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.