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Serie A
Referee: P Valeri
Genoa
S T U T U
1–2
Full-time
Torino
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 16. · Torino 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Sassuolo 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Napoli 5 4 0 1 +10 12
4 Atalanta 6 4 0 2 +4 12
5 Inter 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Verona 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Roma 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Sampdoria 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Lazio 6 3 1 2 -2 10
10 Juventus 5 2 3 0 +6 9
11 Fiorentina 6 2 1 3 -2 7
12 Cagliari 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Bologna 6 2 0 4 -1 6
14 Benevento 6 2 0 4 -7 6
15 Parma 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Genoa 5 1 2 2 -5 5
17 Spezia 6 1 2 3 -7 5
18 Udinese 6 1 0 5 -5 3
19 Torino 5 0 1 4 -5 1
20 Crotone 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Torino
10′
S. Lukić 0–1
Lukas Lerager ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
17′
23′
🟨 Amer Gojak
26′
Luca Pellegrini 1–1
own goal
Milan Badelj 🟨
31′
45′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
Half-time 1–1
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ E. Goldaniga
46′
M. Bani 🔁
↦ M. Zajc
46′
Nicolò Rovella 🟨
51′
53′
🔁 S. Meïté
↦ A. Gojak
54′
🔁 R. Rodríguez
↦ N. Murru
54′
🔁 F. Bonazzoli
↦ S. Verdi
D. Criscito 🔁
↦ Luca Pellegrini
67′
V. Parigini 🔁
↦ M. Pjaca
67′
68′
🟨 Wilfried Stephane Singo
74′
🔁 M. Vojvoda
↦ W. Singo
M. Destro 🔁
↦ N. Rovella
88′
88′
🔁 C. Ansaldi
↦ K. Linetty
90′
🟨 Saša Lukić
2–1 G. Scamacca
G. Pandev
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genoa

4-3-2-1
1 M. Perin G
2 C. Zapata D
5 E. Goldaniga D
18 P. Ghiglione D
88 Luca Pellegrini D
47 M. Badelj M
16 M. Zajc M
8 L. Lerager M
65 N. Rovella M
37 M. Pjaca M
9 G. Scamacca F
Bench (12)
19 G. Pandev
13 M. Bani
4 D. Criscito
70 V. Parigini
23 M. Destro
14 D. Biraschi
55 A. Masiello
11 V. Behrami
22 F. Marchetti
21 I. Radovanović
24 F. Melegoni
32 A. Paleari

Coach: R. Maran

Torino

4-3-1-2
39 S. Sirigu G
29 N. Murru D
4 Lyanco D
3 Bremer D
17 W. Singo D
88 T. Rincón M
77 K. Linetty M
7 S. Lukić M
10 A. Gojak M
24 S. Verdi F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
23 S. Meïté
13 R. Rodríguez
26 F. Bonazzoli
27 M. Vojvoda
15 C. Ansaldi
32 V. Savić
33 N. N'Koulou
25 A. Rosati
6 J. Segre
20 S. Edera
73 S. Vianni
99 A. Buongiorno

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U
3,51
B ✓
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.