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Serie A
Referee: J Sacchi
Napoli
T S T S S
6–0
Full-time
Genoa
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 3
11 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 6. · Genoa 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Verona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Milan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Inter 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Benevento 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Parma 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Spezia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Roma 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Sampdoria 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Genoa
1–0 H. Lozano
D. Mertens
10′
E. Elmas 🔁
↦ L. Insigne
22′
Half-time 1–0
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ K. Manolas
46′
2–0 P. Zieliński
V. Osimhen
46′
54′
🔁 G. Pandev
↦ M. Zajc
54′
🔁 P. Ghiglione
↦ Luca Pellegrini
3–0 D. Mertens
P. Zieliński
57′
64′
🔁 V. Behrami
↦ M. Badelj
4–0 H. Lozano
D. Mertens
65′
M. Politano 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
66′
S. Lobotka 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
66′
5–0 E. Elmas
E. Hysaj
69′
70′
🔁 I. Radovanović
↦ L. Lerager
70′
🔁 F. Melegoni
↦ M. Pjaca
F. Ghoulam 🔁
↦ P. Zieliński
72′
6–0 M. Politano
G. Di Lorenzo
72′
Victor Osimhen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Andrea Masiello
90′
🟨 Mattia Destro
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-2-3-1
1 A. Meret G
44 K. Manolas D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
20 P. Zieliński M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Mertens M
24 L. Insigne M
11 H. Lozano M
9 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
7 E. Elmas
19 N. Maksimović
21 M. Politano
68 S. Lobotka
31 F. Ghoulam
13 S. Luperto
4 D. Demme
6 Mário Rui
37 A. Petagna
25 D. Ospina
33 A. Rrahmani
16 N. Contini Baranovsky

Coach: G. Gattuso

Genoa

3-5-2
22 F. Marchetti G
55 A. Masiello D
77 D. Zappacosta M
14 D. Biraschi D
5 E. Goldaniga D
88 Luca Pellegrini M
47 M. Badelj M
16 M. Zajc M
8 L. Lerager M
23 M. Destro F
37 M. Pjaca F
Bench (12)
19 G. Pandev
18 P. Ghiglione
11 V. Behrami
21 I. Radovanović
24 F. Melegoni
71 G. Agostino
79 D. Males
99 L. Czyborra
2 C. Zapata
38 L. Zima
65 N. Rovella
17 P. Brlek

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,57
B
9,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.