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Serie A
Referee: M Irrati
Torino
U U T U T
2–4
Full-time
Atalanta
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

44% Possession 56%
5 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jan -20 Torino – Atalanta 0–7 1. Sep -19 Atalanta – Torino 2–3 23. Feb -19 Torino – Atalanta 2–0 26. Sep -18 Atalanta – Torino 0–0 22. Apr -18 Atalanta – Torino 2–1

Match report

Torino Atalanta
1–0 A. Belotti ⚽
T. Rincón
11′
13′
⚽ Papu Gómez 1–1
D. Zapata
21′
⚽ L. Muriel 1–2
Papu Gómez
30′
🟨 Mattia Caldara
Simone Zaza 🟨
39′
42′
⚽ H. Hateboer 1–3
Papu Gómez
2–3 A. Belotti ⚽
M. Vojvoda
43′
Half-time 2–3
46′
🔁 J. Palomino
↦ M. Caldara
54′
⚽ M. de Roon 2–4
L. Muriel
S. Verdi 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
64′
S. Lukić 🔁
↦ K. Linetty
64′
64′
🔁 R. Malinovskyi
↦ L. Muriel
V. Millico 🔁
↦ S. Zaza
75′
J. Segre 🔁
↦ T. Rincón
80′
84′
🔁 J. Mojica
↦ R. Gosens
84′
🔁 M. Pašalić
↦ Papu Gómez
85′
🔁 S. Lammers
↦ D. Zapata
87′
🟨 Remo Freuler
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-1-2
39 S. Sirigu G
33 N. N'Koulou D
29 N. Murru D
27 M. Vojvoda D
3 Bremer D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
77 K. Linetty M
11 S. Zaza F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (12)
24 S. Verdi
7 S. Lukić
22 V. Millico
6 J. Segre
25 A. Rosati
99 A. Buongiorno
20 S. Edera
5 A. Izzo
15 C. Ansaldi
10 Iago Falqué
32 V. Savić
4 Lyanco

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
57 M. Sportiello G
2 R. Tolói D
33 H. Hateboer M
13 M. Caldara D
8 R. Gosens M
4 B. Šutalo D
10 Papu Gómez F
15 M. de Roon M
11 R. Freuler M
91 D. Zapata F
9 L. Muriel F
Bench (10)
6 J. Palomino
18 R. Malinovskyi
26 J. Mojica
88 M. Pašalić
7 S. Lammers
31 F. Rossi
24 M. Carnesecchi
40 M. Ruggeri
20 J. Da Riva
79 A. Diallo

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,84
🔒
U
4,25
🔒
B ✓
1,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,56
🔒
U2,5
2,41
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Irrati · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.