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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Zurich
U T U T S
1–0
Full-time
Basel
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 7. · Basel 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 St. Gallen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
3 Lugano 5 2 3 0 +2 9
4 Lausanne 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Basel 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Servette 4 1 1 2 -1 4
7 Zurich 4 1 1 2 -2 4
8 Sion 4 0 3 1 -1 3
9 Luzern 5 0 2 3 -3 2
10 Vaduz 5 0 2 3 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Basel
Ousmane Doumbia 🟨
21′
21′
🟨 Jasper van der Werff
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Marchesano
A. Ceesay
46′
62′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ Arthur Cabral
62′
🔁 S. Campo
↦ O. Bunjaku
73′
🔁 A. Padula
↦ E. Zhegrova
73′
🔁 T. Tushi
↦ J. von Moos
B. Kramer 🔁
↦ A. Ceesay
74′
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
83′
H. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ B. Kololli
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
5 L. Sobiech D
6 F. Aliti D
3 Nathan D
4 B. Omeragić D
10 A. Marchesano M
70 B. Kololli M
20 O. Doumbia M
14 T. Domgjoni M
9 A. Ceesay F
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
18 B. Kramer
22 W. Gnonto
71 H. Kryeziu
7 A. Winter
27 M. Schönbächler
42 S. Wallner
1 Ž. Kostadinović

Coach: M. Rizzo

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 Đ. Nikolić G
5 S. Widmer D
96 Jorge D
4 E. Cömert D
21 J. van der Werff D
20 F. Frei M
23 P. Kasami M
30 E. Zhegrova M
22 O. Bunjaku M
98 Arthur Cabral F
18 J. von Moos M
Bench (7)
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
10 S. Campo
72 A. Padula
24 T. Tushi
76 A. Hajdari
46 F. Gebhardt
28 R. Petretta

Coach: C. Sforza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.