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Serie A

Referee: F La Penna

Torino

U T U T T

2–3

Full-time

Cagliari

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%

10 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 19. · Cagliari 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Sassuolo	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Inter	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Verona	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Benevento	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Lazio	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Bologna	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Spezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Parma	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-8	1
19	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Inter	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Parma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Lazio	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Inter	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.