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Serie A
Referee: D Orsato
Fiorentina
U T U U S
0–0
Full-time
Bologna
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
43%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 14. · Bologna 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 15 11 3 1 +21 36
2 Milan 14 10 4 0 +16 34
3 Roma 14 8 3 3 +8 27
4 Sassuolo 14 7 5 2 +9 26
5 Napoli 13 8 1 4 +15 25
6 Juventus 13 6 6 1 +12 24
7 Atalanta 13 6 4 3 +8 22
8 Lazio 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Verona 14 5 5 4 +4 20
10 Benevento 14 5 3 6 -6 18
11 Sampdoria 14 5 2 7 -1 17
12 Udinese 13 4 3 6 -3 15
13 Bologna 14 4 3 7 -6 15
14 Fiorentina 14 3 5 6 -5 14
15 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 -6 14
16 Parma 14 2 6 6 -12 12
17 Spezia 14 2 5 7 -10 11
18 Genoa 14 2 4 8 -13 10
19 Crotone 15 2 3 10 -20 9
20 Torino 14 1 5 8 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Bologna
4′
🟨 Lorenzo De Silvestri
Igor Júlio 🟨
8′
28′
🟨 Jerdy Schouten
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Paz
↦ L. De Silvestri
58′
🟨 Nicolás Domínguez
Germán Pezzella 🟨
71′
Pol Lirola 🔁
↦ M. Cáceres
72′
C. Kouamé 🔁
↦ D. Vlahović
72′
75′
🔁 A. Olsen
↦ R. Orsolini
76′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ R. Palacio
G. Bonaventura 🔁
↦ Borja Valero
77′
87′
🔁 A. Poli
↦ J. Schouten
88′
🔁 M. Svanberg
↦ N. Domínguez
Giacomo Bonaventura 🟨
89′
Christian Kouamé 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-5-2
69 B. Drągowski G
22 M. Cáceres M
20 G. Pezzella D
23 L. Venuti M
98 Igor D
4 N. Milenković D
7 F. Ribéry F
6 Borja Valero M
34 S. Amrabat M
10 G. Castrovilli M
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (12)
21 Pol Lirola
11 C. Kouamé
5 G. Bonaventura
78 E. Pulgar
8 A. Duncan
77 José Callejón
1 P. Terracciano
2 L. Martínez
27 A. Barreca
18 R. Saponara
92 V. Eysseric
29 D. Krastev

Coach: C. Prandelli

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Angelo da Costa G
29 L. De Silvestri D
23 Danilo D
35 M. Dijks D
14 T. Tomiyasu D
21 R. Soriano M
30 J. Schouten M
8 N. Domínguez M
24 R. Palacio F
7 R. Orsolini M
99 M. Barrow M
Bench (12)
6 N. Paz
11 A. Olsen
55 E. Vignato
16 A. Poli
32 M. Svanberg
34 F. Ravaglia
18 A. Baldursson
3 A. Hickey
4 S. Denswil
33 A. Calabresi
22 K. Michael
19 S. Rabbi

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U ✓
3,55
B
3,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.