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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Spezia

T T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Verona

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

14%

36%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

86%

43%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

6 Shots 9

1 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 9

22 Free kicks against 10

6 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 17. · Verona 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	11	3	1	+21	36
2	Milan	14	10	4	0	+16	34
3	Roma	14	8	3	3	+8	27
4	Sassuolo	14	7	5	2	+9	26
5	Napoli	13	8	1	4	+15	25
6	Juventus	13	6	6	1	+12	24
7	Atalanta	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Lazio	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Verona	14	5	5	4	+4	20
10	Benevento	14	5	3	6	-6	18
11	Sampdoria	14	5	2	7	-1	17
12	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-3	15
13	Bologna	14	4	3	7	-6	15
14	Fiorentina	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Cagliari	14	3	5	6	-6	14
16	Parma	14	2	6	6	-12	12
17	Spezia	14	2	5	7	-10	11
18	Genoa	14	2	4	8	-13	10
19	Crotone	15	2	3	10	-20	9
20	Torino	14	1	5	8	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Roma	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Milan	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Napoli	7	4	1	2	+10	13
5	Juventus	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Verona	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Atalanta	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	Bologna	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Sassuolo	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Fiorentina	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Cagliari	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Lazio	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Benevento	7	2	2	3	-4	8
14	Sampdoria	7	2	1	4	+1	7
15	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Crotone	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Parma	7	1	4	2	-5	7
18	Genoa	7	1	1	5	-5	4
19	Torino	7	0	3	4	-5	3
20	Spezia	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	7	6	1	0	+8	19
2	Inter	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Sassuolo	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Juventus	7	3	4	0	+9	13
5	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Napoli	6	4	0	2	+5	12
7	Atalanta	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Sampdoria	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Benevento	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Roma	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Verona	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Udinese	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Spezia	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Genoa	7	1	3	3	-8	6
16	Torino	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Fiorentina	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Bologna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Parma	7	1	2	4	-7	5
20	Crotone	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.