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Serie A

Referee: L Massimi

Lecce

T U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

11%

22%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

78%

33%

Average goals

2,1

2,0

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

6 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 16. · Fiorentina 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Atalanta	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Milan	10	7	2	1	+10	23
4	Roma	10	7	1	2	+4	22
5	Lazio	10	6	3	1	+16	21
6	Udinese	10	6	3	1	+9	21
7	Inter	10	6	0	4	+4	18
8	Juventus	10	4	4	2	+6	16
9	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Empoli	10	2	5	3	-2	11
11	Torino	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	Salernitana	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Monza	10	3	1	6	-6	10
14	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-10	9
16	Lecce	9	1	4	4	-3	7
17	Bologna	10	1	4	5	-7	7
18	Verona	10	1	2	7	-10	5
19	Cremonese	10	0	4	6	-12	4
20	Sampdoria	10	0	3	7	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Inter	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Milan	5	4	0	1	+6	12
5	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+8	11
6	Udinese	5	3	2	0	+7	11
7	Atalanta	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Roma	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Spezia	5	2	3	0	+2	9
10	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	+3	7
12	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+3	7
13	Bologna	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Monza	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Torino	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Empoli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Lecce	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Verona	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Roma	6	4	1	1	+0	13
4	Milan	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Udinese	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+8	8
7	Empoli	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Inter	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	Torino	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Juventus	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Sassuolo	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Lecce	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Monza	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-4	3
15	Salernitana	5	0	3	2	-7	3
16	Verona	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Bologna	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Spezia	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.