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Serie A

Referee: D Doveri

Salernitana

U S U U U

1–2

Full-time

Lecce

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

6 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 10. · Lecce 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Atalanta	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Milan	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Udinese	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Roma	6	4	1	1	+2	13
6	Inter	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Lazio	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Juventus	6	2	4	0	+5	10
9	Torino	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Salernitana	6	1	4	1	+3	7
11	Fiorentina	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Bologna	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Sassuolo	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Verona	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Empoli	6	0	4	2	-2	4
17	Lecce	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Cremonese	6	0	2	4	-5	2
19	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Monza	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Lazio	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Juventus	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Atalanta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Bologna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Verona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Lecce	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Empoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Monza	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Roma	4	2	1	1	-2	7
4	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Torino	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Salernitana	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Empoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Verona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sassuolo	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Lecce	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Monza	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.