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Conference League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Hearts
T T S S T
0–3
Full-time
Fiorentina
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

28% Possession 72%
4 Shots 25
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 10
4 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Hearts Fiorentina
4′
⚽ R. Mandragora 0–1
A. Terzić
Stephen Kingsley 🟨
25′
42′
⚽ C. Kouamé 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 N. Milenković
↦ Igor
Lewis Neilson 🟥
48′
C. Devlin 🔁
↦ J. Grant
53′
S. Humphrys 🔁
↦ L. Shankland
53′
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 🟨
56′
N. Atkinson 🔁
↦ M. Smith
59′
74′
🔁 Dodô
↦ C. Biraghi
74′
🔁 A. Bianco
↦ S. Amrabat
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ J. Ginnelly
76′
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ B. McKay
76′
79′
⚽ L. Jović 0–3
C. Kouamé
80′
🔁 N. González
↦ R. Saponara
87′
🔁 S. Żurkowski
↦ G. Bonaventura
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hearts

1 C. Gordon G
20 L. Neilson D
3 S. Kingsley D
19 A. Cochrane D
2 M. Smith M
7 J. Grant M
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
16 A. Halliday M
30 J. Ginnelly F
9 L. Shankland F
18 B. McKay F
Bench (11)
14 C. Devlin
29 S. Humphrys
12 N. Atkinson
17 A. Forrest
11 G. Mackay-Steven
13 R. Stewart
5 P. Haring
27 C. Smith
21 T. Sibbick
22 E. Henderson
28 Z. Clark

Fiorentina

4-3-3
95 P. Gollini G
15 A. Terzić D
28 L. Martínez D
98 Igor D
3 C. Biraghi D
5 G. Bonaventura M
34 S. Amrabat M
38 R. Mandragora M
99 C. Kouamé F
7 L. Jović F
8 R. Saponara F
Bench (12)
4 N. Milenković
2 Dodô
42 A. Bianco
22 N. González
27 S. Żurkowski
32 A. Duncan
23 L. Venuti
1 P. Terracciano
9 Arthur Cabral
31 M. Cerofolini
16 L. Ranieri
14 Y. Maleh

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.