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Serie A

Referee: M Volpi

Torino

S S U S T

1–0

Full-time

Lecce

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 9. · Lecce 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Napoli	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Milan	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Udinese	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Roma	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+5	9
7	Inter	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Salernitana	5	1	3	1	+3	6
11	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Sassuolo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	Verona	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Empoli	5	0	4	1	-1	4
16	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Lecce	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Cremonese	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Monza	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Spezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	+3	4
11	Atalanta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Verona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Sampdoria	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Monza	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Torino	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Roma	3	1	1	1	-3	4
5	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Inter	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Milan	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Empoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Sassuolo	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Monza	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.