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Serie A

Referee: F Fourneau

Udinese

U U T T U

1–1

Full-time

Lecce

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

67%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 8. · Lecce 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Atalanta	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Milan	12	8	2	2	+12	26
4	Roma	12	8	1	3	+5	25
5	Lazio	12	7	3	2	+16	24
6	Inter	12	8	0	4	+8	24
7	Juventus	12	6	4	2	+11	22
8	Udinese	12	6	4	2	+8	22
9	Torino	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Salernitana	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Sassuolo	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Bologna	12	3	4	5	-4	13
13	Fiorentina	12	3	4	5	-4	13
14	Empoli	12	2	5	5	-8	11
15	Monza	12	3	1	8	-10	10
16	Spezia	12	2	3	7	-12	9
17	Lecce	12	1	5	6	-6	8
18	Sampdoria	12	1	3	8	-15	6
19	Verona	12	1	2	9	-13	5
20	Cremonese	12	0	5	7	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Inter	6	5	0	1	+10	15
3	Milan	6	5	0	1	+9	15
4	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+12	14
5	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Udinese	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Sassuolo	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Salernitana	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Roma	5	3	0	2	+3	9
11	Bologna	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Spezia	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Fiorentina	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Monza	6	2	0	4	-2	6
16	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Lecce	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Verona	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Cremonese	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Roma	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Milan	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Udinese	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Inter	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Torino	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Juventus	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Salernitana	6	1	3	2	-5	6
12	Fiorentina	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Sassuolo	6	1	2	3	-7	5
14	Lecce	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Bologna	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	Monza	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Verona	6	0	2	4	-6	2
20	Spezia	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.