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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Modena
U T U S T
0–0
Full-time
Como
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 42%
25%
58%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 57%
58%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 14. · Como 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 36 21 11 4 +31 74
2 Como 36 21 8 7 +18 71
3 Venezia 36 20 7 9 +23 67
4 Cremonese 36 18 9 9 +15 63
5 Catanzaro 36 17 9 10 +12 60
6 Palermo 36 14 10 12 +8 52
7 Sampdoria 36 14 9 13 +0 51
8 Brescia 36 11 15 10 +3 48
9 Sudtirol 36 12 10 14 -1 46
10 Reggiana 36 10 16 10 -6 46
11 Cosenza 36 11 12 13 +5 45
12 Pisa 36 11 12 13 -2 45
13 Cittadella 36 11 12 13 -4 45
14 Modena 36 9 16 11 -7 43
15 Spezia 36 8 16 12 -14 40
16 Ascoli 36 8 13 15 -5 37
17 Ternana 36 9 10 17 -9 37
18 Bari 36 7 16 13 -13 37
19 FeralpiSalo 36 8 9 19 -19 33
20 Lecco 36 6 8 22 -35 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Como
Luca Magnino 🟨
19′
23′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
Half-time 0–0
L. Di Stefano 🔁
↦ K. Bozhanaj
46′
58′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ D. Baselli
58′
🔁 P. Cutrone
↦ S. Verdi
80′
🔁 N. Ioannou
↦ M. Sala
80′
🔁 J. Nsame
↦ A. Gabrielloni
80′
🔁 C. Odenthal
↦ T. Cassandro
L. Strizzolo 🔁
↦ E. Gliozzi
81′
N. Corrado 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
81′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-3
26 R. Gagno G
27 A. Riccio D
19 G. Zaro D
4 A. Pergreffi D
29 M. Cotali D
23 T. Battistella M
6 L. Magnino M
8 S. Santoro M
5 A. Palumbo F
9 E. Gliozzi F
30 K. Bozhanaj F
Bench (12)
73 L. Di Stefano
32 L. Strizzolo
91 N. Corrado
42 L. Mondele
10 L. Tremolada
87 R. Ori
78 M. Oliva
22 F. Vandelli
77 E. Olivieri
17 J. Manconi
33 C. Cauz
12 A. Seculin

Coach: P. Bisoli

Como

4-2-3-1
1 A. Šemper G
84 T. Cassandro D
2 E. Goldaniga D
93 F. Barba D
3 M. Sala D
27 M. Braunöder M
8 D. Baselli M
21 Gabriel Strefezza M
90 S. Verdi M
33 L. da Cunha M
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (12)
28 O. Abildgaard
10 P. Cutrone
44 N. Ioannou
77 J. Nsame
26 C. Odenthal
6 A. Iovine
7 M. Chajia
14 A. Bellemo
22 M. Vigorito
99 T. Fumagalli
5 M. Curto
23 N. Gioacchini

Coach: O. Roberts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U ✓
3,10
B
2,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.