Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Inter
Torino
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.7 | 3 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 3 |
Como
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Cremonese
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -1.7 | 3 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.0 | 3 |
| 6 |
Udinese
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 7 |
Verona
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 8 |
Cagliari
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Fiorentina
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Atalanta
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +1.3 | 1 |
| 11 |
Pisa
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -1.3 | 1 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +1.7 | 0 |
| 15 |
Bologna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.7 | 0 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.8 | 0 |
| 18 |
Lazio
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.1 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Y. Sommer
G
B. Pavard
D
A. Bastoni
D
D. Dumfries
M
P. Sucic
M
N. Barella
M
H. Mkhitaryan
M
F. Dimarco
M
M. Thuram
F
L. Martinez
F
Coach: Cristian Eugen Chivu
S. Coco
D
C. Biraghi
D
C. Casadei
M
E. Ilkhan
M
G. Gineitis
M
C. Ngonge
F
G. Simeone
F
N. Vlasic
F
Coach: Marco Baroni
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Paris SG
Inter
Como
Inter
Inter
Lazio
Torino
Inter
Inter
Barcelona
Federico La Penna · 34 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.