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Serie A
Referee: Federico La Penna
Inter
S S U S T
5–0
Full-time
Torino
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,59 xG 0,94
60% Possession 40%
20 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.7 3
2 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
3 Como 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.1 3
4 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.7 3
5 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
6 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
7 Verona 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
8 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
9 Fiorentina 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
10 Atalanta 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.3 1
11 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
12 Genoa 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
13 Lecce 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
14 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.7 0
15 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.0 0
16 Parma 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.7 0
17 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
18 Lazio 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Torino
1–0 A. Bastoni
N. Barella
18′
2–0 M. Thuram
P. Sucic
36′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 L. Martinez
52′
58′
🔁 Z. Aboukhlal
↦ N. Vlasic
58′
🔁 A. Tameze
↦ E. Ilkhan
4–0 M. Thuram
A. Bastoni
62′
64′
🔁 C. Adams
↦ G. Simeone
Carlos Augusto 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
66′
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
67′
5–0 A. Bonny
L. Martinez
72′
P. Zielinski 🔁
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
79′
A. Diouf 🔁
↦ L. Martinez
79′
79′
🔁 F. Anjorin
↦ V. Lazaro
80′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ C. Ngonge
Luis Henrique 🔁
↦ A. Bastoni
86′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
5 B. Pavard D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
8 P. Sucic M
23 N. Barella M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
10 L. Martinez F
Bench (12)
12 R. Di Gennaro
13 J. Martinez
6 S. de Vrij
7 P. Zielinski
11 Luis Henrique
14 A. Bonny
16 D. Frattesi
17 A. Diouf
30 Carlos Augusto
31 Y. Bisseck
36 M. Darmian
42 T. Palacios

Coach: Cristian Eugen Chivu

Torino

4-3-3
81 F. Israel G
20 V. Lazaro D
23 S. Coco D
5 A. Masina D
34 C. Biraghi D
22 C. Casadei M
6 E. Ilkhan M
66 G. Gineitis M
26 C. Ngonge F
18 G. Simeone F
10 N. Vlasic F
Bench (14)
71 M. Popa
1 A. Paleari
7 Z. Aboukhlal
8 I. Ilic
13 G. Maripan
14 F. Anjorin
16 M. Pedersen
19 C. Adams
21 A. Dembele
61 A. Tameze
80 C. Bianay Balcot
83 S. Perciun
91 D. Zapata
92 A. Njie

Coach: Marco Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,67
B
7,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Federico La Penna · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.