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Coppa Italia

Referee: P Tremolada

Torino

T U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Modena

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

7 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
3	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.