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Serie A
Referee: Paride Tremolada
Udinese
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Verona
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,73 xG 0,56
63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.7 3
2 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
3 Como 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.1 3
4 Cremonese 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.7 3
5 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
6 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
7 Fiorentina 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
8 Atalanta 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.3 1
9 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.3 1
10 Genoa 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
11 Lecce 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
12 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.7 0
13 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.0 0
14 Parma 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.7 0
15 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
16 Lazio 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Verona
Iker Bravo 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Kristensen
S. Lovric
53′
O. Zarraga 🔁
↦ S. Lovric
61′
V. Bayo 🔁
↦ I. Bravo
61′
66′
🔁 A. Harroui
↦ C. Niasse
66′
🔁 D. Mosquera
↦ A. Sarr
Keinan Davis 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 R. Belghali
↦ D. Bradaric
73′
S. Serdar 1–1
Giovane
J. Piotrowski 🔁
↦ K. Davis
74′
H. Kamara 🔁
↦ J. Zemura
79′
82′
🔁 D. Oyegoke
↦ F. Cham
82′
🔁 E. Ebosse
↦ S. Serdar
85′
🟨 Enzo Ebosse
Nicolò Bertola 🟨
88′
93′
🟨 Rafik Belghali
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
90 R. Sava G
13 N. Bertola D
31 T. Kristensen D
28 O. Solet D
19 K. Ehizibue M
4 S. Lovric M
8 J. Karlstrom M
14 A. Atta M
33 J. Zemura M
9 K. Davis F
17 I. Bravo F
Bench (14)
1 A. Nunziante
93 D. Padelli
2 S. Goglichidze
6 O. Zarraga
11 H. Kamara
15 V. Bayo
24 J. Piotrowski
27 C. Kabasele
29 A. Camara
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
38 L. Miller
45 G. Vinciati
77 R. Modesto
79 D. Pejicic

Coach: Kosta Runjaić

Verona

3-5-2
1 L. Montipo G
5 U. Nunez D
15 V. Nelsson D
3 M. Frese D
70 F. Cham M
36 C. Niasse M
24 A. Bernede M
8 S. Serdar M
12 D. Bradaric M
17 Giovane F
9 A. Sarr F
Bench (15)
2 D. Oyegoke
7 R. Belghali
34 S. Perilli
94 G. Toniolo
14 D. Rocha Livramento
18 Charlys
19 T. Slotsager
20 G. Kastanos
21 A. Harroui
22 A. Kurti
23 E. Ebosse
25 D. Mosquera
39 M. Lambourde
72 J. Ajayi
80 S. Mitrovic

Coach: Paolo Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U ✓
3,33
B
3,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paride Tremolada · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.