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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Ath Bilbao

S S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Vallecano

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,51 xG 0,29

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 7

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Vallecano 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.5	6
4	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
5	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.0	4
6	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
7	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
8	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
10	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
11	Sociedad	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
12	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.4	2
13	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
14	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
16	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
17	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
19	Oviedo	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
20	Girona	2	0	0	2	-7	-5.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
2	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
3	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
9	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
12	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
13	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0
15	Celta	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
16	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
4	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
6	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
11	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
13	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
14	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.