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Ligue 2
Guingamp
S U T S U
2–1
Full-time
Lorient
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 53%
35%
70%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
61%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

18 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 8
6 Corners 6
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 9. · Lorient 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 23 16 3 4 +23 51
2 Lens 23 13 7 3 +16 46
3 Ajaccio 24 12 6 6 +10 42
4 Clermont 24 11 8 5 +7 41
5 Troyes 24 13 2 9 +4 41
6 Le Havre 24 9 11 4 +11 38
7 Valenciennes 24 9 8 7 +2 35
8 Nancy 24 6 15 3 +4 33
9 Guingamp 23 8 8 7 +7 32
10 Sochaux 24 8 8 8 +1 32
11 Grenoble 23 6 13 4 +1 31
12 Auxerre 24 7 9 8 +2 30
13 Caen 24 6 10 8 -4 28
14 Rodez 24 7 6 11 -3 27
15 Chambly 24 7 6 11 -8 27
16 Chateauroux 24 6 7 11 -16 25
17 Niort 24 5 7 12 -8 22
18 Le Mans 24 6 3 15 -14 21
19 Paris FC 24 5 6 13 -18 21
20 Orleans 24 3 7 14 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
2,94
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.