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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Lorient
U U
0–1
Full-time
St Etienne
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 13. · St Etienne 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Angers 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Rennes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Caen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Reims 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Monaco 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Nice 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Toulouse 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Lyon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Troyes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Lorient 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Bordeaux 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Lille 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 St Etienne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Marseille 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Montpellier 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Guingamp 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient St Etienne
Benjamin Lecomte 🟥
1′
F. Chaigneau 🔁
↦ Didier Bouanga
3′
31′
🟨 Moustapha Bayal Sall
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 B. Corgnet
↦ V. Eysseric
60′
🟨 Romain Hamouma
65′
🟨 Kévin Monnet-Paquet
65′
🔁 N. Maupay
↦ N. Roux
R. Philippoteaux 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
78′
B. Jeannot 🔁
↦ B. Moukandjo
86′
87′
⚽ R. Hamouma 0–1
N. Maupay
90′
🔁 J. Brison
↦ R. Hamouma
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lorient

40 B. Lecomte G
2 L. Koné D
6 F. Bellugou M
25 L. Gassama D
4 V. Le Goff D
24 W. Lautoa D
14 Raphaël Guerreiro D
17 W. Mesloub M
7 D. Ndong M
12 B. Moukandjo F
20 Didier Bouanga
Bench (7)
30 F. Chaigneau
19 R. Philippoteaux
22 B. Jeannot
29 P. Paye
28 M. Barthelmé
15 Alain Traoré
23 M. Fofana

St Etienne

16 S. Ruffier G
26 M. Bayal Sall D
2 K. Théophile Catherine D
19 F. Pogba D
3 P. Polomat D
6 J. Clément M
18 F. Lemoine M
11 V. Eysseric M
22 K. Monnet-Paquet M
21 R. Hamouma M
9 N. Roux F
Bench (7)
8 B. Corgnet
14 N. Maupay
20 J. Brison
5 V. Pajot
29 F. Clerc
30 J. Moulin
28 I. Diomandé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.