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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Marseille
T S U S S
0–2
Full-time
St Etienne
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Marseille 6. · St Etienne 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Monaco 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Montpellier 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Nice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Lens 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Angers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
10 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
11 Lyon 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Nantes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Nimes 3 1 0 2 +1 3
14 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Paris SG 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Brest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Reims 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Metz 3 0 0 3 -3 0
19 Dijon 3 0 0 3 -6 0
20 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marseille St Etienne
6′
R. Hamouma 0–1
Y. Maçon
9′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ M. Debuchy
21′
🟨 Yvann Maçon
Hiroki Sakai 🟨
30′
Morgan Sanson 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
M. Aké 🔁
↦ M. Lopez
46′
B. Sarr 🔁
↦ L. Balerdi
46′
46′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ A. Aouchiche
58′
🔁 Z. Youssouf
↦ R. Hamouma
V. Germain 🔁
↦ M. Sanson
71′
71′
🔁 L. Gourna-Douath
↦ Y. Neyou Noupa
71′
🔁 N. Sissoko
↦ C. Abi
75′
D. Bouanga 0–2
A. Nordin
K. Strootman 🔁
↦ V. Rongier
78′
C. Rocchia 🔁
↦ H. Sakai
79′
85′
🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Marseille

4-3-3
30 S. Mandanda G
2 H. Sakai D
3 Álvaro González D
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D
4 B. Kamara M
5 L. Balerdi D
10 D. Payet F
8 M. Sanson M
21 V. Rongier M
27 M. Lopez F
26 F. Thauvin F
Bench (9)
23 M. Aké
17 B. Sarr
28 V. Germain
6 K. Strootman
20 C. Rocchia
22 P. Gueye
16 Y. Pelé
24 S. Khaoui
7 N. Radonjić

Coach: André Villas-Boas

St Etienne

4-4-2
30 J. Moulin G
26 M. Debuchy D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
27 Y. Maçon D
3 W. Fofana D
8 M. Camara M
19 Y. Neyou Noupa M
17 A. Aouchiche M
21 R. Hamouma F
20 D. Bouanga M
29 C. Abi F
Bench (9)
34 A. Moueffek
18 A. Nordin
28 Z. Youssouf
33 L. Gourna-Douath
31 N. Sissoko
2 H. Moukoudi
14 J. Krasso
1 S. Bajic
32 M. Rivera

Coach: C. Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U
3,33
B ✓
3,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.