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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Paris SG

S U S S T

0–1

Full-time

Marseille

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,8

3,7

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

14 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 19

6 Yellow cards 8

3 Red cards 2

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Lens	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Nimes	3	1	0	2	+1	3
12	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Lorient	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Metz	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Lorient	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Angers	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Brest	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Reims	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.