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Premier League
Referee: Andy Madley
Watford
U T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Wolves
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
15%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
35%
75%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 19. · Wolves 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 19 18 1 0 +33 55
2 Leicester 20 13 3 4 +24 42
3 Man City 20 13 2 5 +31 41
4 Chelsea 21 11 3 7 +7 36
5 Man United 20 8 7 5 +9 31
6 Tottenham 20 8 6 6 +7 30
7 Wolves 20 7 9 4 +4 30
8 Sheffield United 20 7 8 5 +4 29
9 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 -4 27
10 Everton 20 7 4 9 -7 25
11 Newcastle 20 7 4 9 -10 25
12 Arsenal 20 5 9 6 -4 24
13 Brighton 21 6 6 9 -4 24
14 Burnley 21 7 3 11 -10 24
15 Southampton 20 6 4 10 -14 22
16 Aston Villa 21 6 3 12 -10 21
17 Bournemouth 20 5 5 10 -8 20
18 West Ham 19 5 4 10 -11 19
19 Watford 20 3 7 10 -18 16
20 Norwich 20 3 4 13 -19 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Wolves
Craig Dawson 🟨
21′
26′
🟨 Pedro Neto
1–0 Deulofeu
I. Sarr
30′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Doucouré
Deulofeu
49′
54′
🔁 Rúben Vinagre
↦ Jonny Castro
54′
🔁 Rúben Neves
↦ R. Bennett
J. Holebas 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenía
60′
60′
Pedro Neto 2–1
João Moutinho
66′
🔁 Diogo Jota
↦ Pedro Neto
Christian Kabasele 🟥
71′
A. Masina 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
73′
Ben Foster 🟨
90′
Troy Deeney 🟨
90′
R. Pereyra 🔁
↦ I. Sarr
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Watford

4-2-3-1
26 B. Foster G
15 C. Cathcart D
27 C. Kabasele D
21 Kiko Femenía D
4 C. Dawson D
29 E. Capoue M
14 N. Chalobah M
16 A. Doucouré M
9 T. Deeney F
7 Deulofeu M
23 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
25 J. Holebas
11 A. Masina
37 R. Pereyra
22 I. Success
18 A. Gray
20 Domingos Quina
1 Gomes

Coach: N. Pearson

Wolves

3-4-3
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
27 R. Saïss D
32 L. Dendoncker M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré F
7 Pedro Neto F
Bench (7)
29 Rúben Vinagre
8 Rúben Neves
18 Diogo Jota
21 J. Ruddy
54 O. Otasowie
49 M. Kilman
10 P. Cutrone

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,16
U
3,37
B
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.