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Ligue 1
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
Metz
S U T T T
0–4
Full-time
Bordeaux
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 29%
16%
41%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 49%
51%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

40% Possession 60%
7 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 20. · Bordeaux 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 37 29 5 3 +79 92
2 Monaco 37 23 8 6 +37 77
3 Lyon 37 22 9 6 +43 75
4 Marseille 37 21 11 5 +32 74
5 Rennes 37 16 9 12 +6 57
6 Nice 37 15 9 13 +2 54
7 Bordeaux 37 15 7 15 +1 52
8 St Etienne 37 14 10 13 -8 52
9 Montpellier 37 11 17 9 +3 50
10 Nantes 37 13 10 14 -6 49
11 Guingamp 37 12 11 14 -10 47
12 Amiens 37 12 9 16 -4 45
13 Dijon 37 12 9 16 -19 45
14 Angers 37 9 14 14 -9 41
15 Lille 37 10 8 19 -21 38
16 Strasbourg 37 9 11 17 -22 38
17 Caen 37 10 7 20 -25 37
18 Toulouse 37 8 10 19 -17 34
19 Troyes 37 9 6 22 -24 33
20 Metz 37 6 8 23 -38 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Bordeaux
10′
M. Braithwaite 0–1
Malcom
17′
Malcom 0–2
44′
F. Kamano 0–3
M. Braithwaite
Half-time 0–3
Moussa Niakhaté 🟨
52′
F. Boulaya 🔁
↦ I. Niane
65′
Georges Mandjeck 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ F. Kamano
68′
🔁 J. Plašil
↦ Y. Sankharé
77′
N. de Préville 0–4
M. Poundjé
Florent Mollet 🟨
82′
J. Rivierez 🔁
↦ L. Goudiaby
82′
82′
🔁 D. Contento
↦ Malcom
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 E. Kawashima
21 M. Niakhate D
33 N. Basin D
14 L. Goudiaby D
24 R. Cohade M
4 G. Mandjeck M
17 M. Dossevi M
19 F. Mollet M
15 V. Selimovic D
29 E. Rivière F
7 I. Niane F
Bench (5)
22 F. Boulaya
28 J. Rivierez
1 T. Didillon
5 G. Poblete
18 V. Thill

Coach: F. Hantz

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
29 M. Poundjé D
31 J. Koundé D
13 Y. Sankharé M
10 S. Meïté M
19 L. Lerager M
9 M. Braithwaite F
7 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
12 N. de Préville
18 J. Plašil
3 D. Contento
6 I. Lewczuk
23 V. Vada
24 G. Laborde
40 O. Mandanda

Coach: G. Poyet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.