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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Strasbourg

T T T U S

2–2

Full-time

Metz

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

23%

31%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

62%

23%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

3,2

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 17. · Metz 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	1	3	+24	28
2	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+9	27
3	Lille	13	7	5	1	+15	26
4	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+13	26
5	Montpellier	14	8	2	4	+4	26
6	Monaco	14	7	2	5	+5	23
7	Angers	14	7	2	5	-2	23
8	Rennes	14	6	4	4	+2	22
9	Lens	13	6	3	4	+0	21
10	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+0	19
11	Nice	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Brest	13	6	0	7	-3	18
13	Metz	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Nantes	13	3	4	6	-8	13
15	St Etienne	14	3	4	7	-8	13
16	Nimes	13	3	2	8	-13	11
17	Strasbourg	13	3	1	9	-6	10
18	Reims	13	2	4	7	-6	10
19	Lorient	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Dijon	13	1	5	7	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Monaco	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+12	13
5	Bordeaux	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Brest	6	4	0	2	+2	12
7	Montpellier	7	4	0	3	+0	12
8	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Angers	7	3	1	3	-2	10
13	St Etienne	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Nantes	6	2	2	2	-4	8
15	Nice	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Lorient	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Dijon	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Reims	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Strasbourg	6	1	1	4	-6	4
20	Nimes	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Angers	7	4	1	2	+0	13
5	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Lyon	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Nice	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Lens	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Lille	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Bordeaux	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Nimes	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Strasbourg	7	2	0	5	+0	6
13	Reims	7	1	3	3	-1	6
14	Metz	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Brest	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	Monaco	7	2	0	5	-5	6
17	Nantes	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Lorient	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.