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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Lille

S U T S S

1–1

Full-time

Montpellier

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 51%

63%

38%

Points per game

2,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

63%

Both score Ø 60%

44%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

0,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

20 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 1. · Montpellier 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	32	20	9	3	+34	69
2	Paris SG	32	21	3	8	+48	66
3	Monaco	32	20	5	7	+29	65
4	Lyon	32	18	10	4	+32	64
5	Lens	32	14	10	8	+7	52
6	Marseille	32	13	10	9	+4	49
7	Rennes	32	13	9	10	+5	48
8	Montpellier	32	12	10	10	-1	46
9	Nice	32	12	7	13	-1	43
10	Metz	32	11	9	12	-2	42
11	Angers	32	11	8	13	-13	41
12	Reims	32	9	13	10	+0	40
13	St Etienne	32	10	9	13	-11	39
14	Strasbourg	32	10	6	16	-9	36
15	Bordeaux	32	10	6	16	-10	36
16	Brest	32	10	6	16	-11	36
17	Lorient	32	8	8	16	-20	32
18	Nimes	32	8	6	18	-28	30
19	Nantes	32	5	13	14	-17	28
20	Dijon	32	2	9	21	-36	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	Lille	16	9	5	2	+15	32
4	Paris SG	16	10	1	5	+24	31
5	Marseille	16	8	4	4	+7	28
6	Brest	16	8	3	5	+4	27
7	Lens	16	6	6	4	+4	24
8	Montpellier	17	7	3	7	+0	24
9	Rennes	16	7	3	6	-1	24
10	Lorient	16	7	2	7	-4	23
11	Reims	15	4	7	4	-1	19
12	Metz	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	Bordeaux	16	5	4	7	-3	19
14	Angers	15	5	3	7	-5	18
15	Nice	16	5	3	8	-6	18
16	St Etienne	16	4	6	6	-8	18
17	Strasbourg	16	4	4	8	-6	16
18	Nantes	16	2	8	6	-9	14
19	Nimes	16	3	3	10	-14	12
20	Dijon	16	0	6	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Paris SG	16	11	2	3	+24	35
3	Lyon	16	8	7	1	+14	31
4	Lens	16	8	4	4	+3	28
5	Monaco	15	9	0	6	+7	27
6	Nice	16	7	4	5	+5	25
7	Rennes	16	6	6	4	+6	24
8	Metz	16	6	5	5	+0	23
9	Angers	17	6	5	6	-8	23
10	Montpellier	15	5	7	3	-1	22
11	Reims	17	5	6	6	+1	21
12	Marseille	16	5	6	5	-3	21
13	St Etienne	16	6	3	7	-3	21
14	Strasbourg	16	6	2	8	-3	20
15	Nimes	16	5	3	8	-14	18
16	Bordeaux	16	5	2	9	-7	17
17	Nantes	16	3	5	8	-8	14
18	Brest	16	2	3	11	-15	9
19	Lorient	16	1	6	9	-16	9
20	Dijon	16	2	3	11	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.