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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Montpellier

S T S T U

2–3

Full-time

Lille

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 53%

50%

56%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

63%

38%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,6

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 6. · Lille 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	16	9	6	1	+18	33
2	Lyon	16	9	6	1	+17	33
3	Paris SG	16	10	2	4	+25	32
4	Rennes	17	9	4	4	+7	31
5	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+8	28
6	Montpellier	16	8	3	5	+2	27
7	Lens	16	8	3	5	+2	27
8	Monaco	16	8	2	6	+3	26
9	Angers	16	7	3	6	-4	24
10	Metz	17	6	5	6	+2	23
11	Brest	17	7	2	8	-3	23
12	Nice	16	6	4	6	-1	22
13	Bordeaux	17	6	4	7	-2	22
14	Reims	17	4	5	8	-4	17
15	St Etienne	16	4	5	7	-7	17
16	Nantes	16	3	6	7	-9	15
17	Strasbourg	16	4	2	10	-6	14
18	Lorient	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Dijon	17	2	6	9	-14	12
20	Nimes	17	3	3	11	-20	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Monaco	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Brest	8	5	1	2	+3	16
5	Rennes	9	5	1	3	+1	16
6	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+10	15
7	Lens	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Metz	8	4	1	3	+2	13
9	Marseille	7	3	3	1	+3	12
10	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Montpellier	8	4	0	4	-2	12
12	Nantes	8	2	4	2	-4	10
13	Angers	8	3	1	4	-4	10
14	St Etienne	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Nice	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Lorient	8	2	1	5	-3	7
17	Reims	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
19	Dijon	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Nimes	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	9	5	3	1	+7	18
2	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+12	16
3	Marseille	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Rennes	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Nice	7	4	2	1	+7	14
7	Angers	8	4	2	2	+0	14
8	Lens	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Lille	7	3	3	1	+5	12
10	Reims	10	2	4	4	+0	10
11	Metz	9	2	4	3	+0	10
12	Bordeaux	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Strasbourg	8	3	0	5	+2	9
14	Monaco	8	3	0	5	-4	9
15	St Etienne	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Dijon	8	2	2	4	-7	8
17	Nimes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
18	Brest	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Nantes	8	1	2	5	-5	5
20	Lorient	9	1	2	6	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.