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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Montpellier

U U U S U

3–3

Full-time

Marseille

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

42%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

61%

42%

Both score Ø 66%

74%

58%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

43% Possession 57%

20 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 8

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Montpellier 8. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	32	20	9	3	+34	69
2	Paris SG	32	21	3	8	+48	66
3	Monaco	31	19	5	7	+26	62
4	Lyon	31	17	10	4	+29	61
5	Lens	31	13	10	8	+4	49
6	Marseille	31	13	9	9	+4	48
7	Rennes	31	12	9	10	+4	45
8	Montpellier	31	12	9	10	-1	45
9	Nice	31	12	6	13	-1	42
10	Metz	32	11	9	12	-2	42
11	Angers	31	11	8	12	-10	41
12	Reims	31	9	12	10	+0	39
13	Bordeaux	31	10	6	15	-7	36
14	Strasbourg	32	10	6	16	-9	36
15	St Etienne	31	9	9	13	-14	36
16	Brest	31	10	5	16	-11	35
17	Lorient	31	8	8	15	-17	32
18	Nimes	31	8	5	18	-28	29
19	Nantes	31	5	13	13	-16	28
20	Dijon	31	2	9	20	-33	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	16	10	5	1	+19	35
2	Lille	16	9	5	2	+15	32
3	Paris SG	16	10	1	5	+24	31
4	Lyon	15	9	3	3	+15	30
5	Marseille	16	8	4	4	+7	28
6	Brest	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Montpellier	16	7	2	7	+0	23
8	Lorient	16	7	2	7	-4	23
9	Lens	15	5	6	4	+1	21
10	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
11	Reims	15	4	7	4	-1	19
12	Metz	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	Bordeaux	16	5	4	7	-3	19
14	Angers	15	5	3	7	-5	18
15	Nice	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Strasbourg	16	4	4	8	-6	16
17	St Etienne	15	3	6	6	-11	15
18	Nantes	16	2	8	6	-9	14
19	Nimes	16	3	3	10	-14	12
20	Dijon	16	0	6	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Paris SG	16	11	2	3	+24	35
3	Lyon	16	8	7	1	+14	31
4	Lens	16	8	4	4	+3	28
5	Monaco	15	9	0	6	+7	27
6	Nice	16	7	4	5	+5	25
7	Rennes	16	6	6	4	+6	24
8	Metz	16	6	5	5	+0	23
9	Angers	16	6	5	5	-5	23
10	Montpellier	15	5	7	3	-1	22
11	St Etienne	16	6	3	7	-3	21
12	Reims	16	5	5	6	+1	20
13	Strasbourg	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Marseille	15	5	5	5	-3	20
15	Bordeaux	15	5	2	8	-4	17
16	Nimes	15	5	2	8	-14	17
17	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-7	14
18	Lorient	15	1	6	8	-13	9
19	Brest	16	2	3	11	-15	9
20	Dijon	15	2	3	10	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.