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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Nantes

S T U S T

0–1

Full-time

Lyon

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

4,7

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%

18 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nantes 9. · Lyon 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Angers	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Clermont	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Lens	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Rennes	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Lorient	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Reims	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	St Etienne	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Metz	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Bordeaux	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Lyon	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Lille	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Strasbourg	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lyon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lille	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.