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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Angers
T S T T S
3–0
Full-time
Lyon
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
4,8
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 5. · Lyon 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Nice 2 1 1 0 +4 4
3 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Lyon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Monaco 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Lille 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Strasbourg 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lyon
3′
🟨 Castello Lukeba
1–0 S. Boufal
J. Cabot
20′
36′
🟨 Marcelo
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Thiago Mendes
↦ Bruno Guimarães
46′
🔁 S. Diomandé
↦ C. Lukeba
46′
🔁 M. Caqueret
↦ Lucas Paquetá
49′
🟨 Maxwel Cornet
1–1 Marcelo
own goal
53′
65′
🟨 Maxwel Cornet
65′
🟥 Maxwel Cornet
69′
🔁 Henrique
↦ I. Slimani
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ M. Cho
74′
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
75′
2–1 A. Ounahi
J. Cabot
77′
C. Ninga 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
80′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
81′
Batista Mendy 🟨
82′
82′
🔁 T. Kadewere
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
Mathias Lage 🔁
↦ S. Doumbia
86′
87′
🟨 Sinaly Diomandé
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Angers

3-4-1-2
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia M
2 B. Mendy M
5 T. Mangani M
13 S. Boufal F
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini F
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
19 S. Bahoken
18 A. Ounahi
9 C. Ninga
15 P. Capelle
27 Mathias Lage
6 E. Ebosse
30 D. Petković
26 W. Taibi
22 S. Thioub

Coach: G. Baticle

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
14 L. Dubois D
4 C. Lukeba D
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 H. Aouar M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
20 I. Slimani F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
27 M. Cornet D
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (9)
23 Thiago Mendes
2 S. Diomandé
25 M. Caqueret
12 Henrique
11 T. Kadewere
18 R. Cherki
17 M. Gusto
33 G. Nsombi
16 M. Barcola

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,35
U
3,74
B
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.