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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Lyon
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Brest
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
5,0
2,8
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
17 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -21 Brest – Lyon 2–3 16. Dec -20 Lyon – Brest 2–2 25. Sep -19 Brest – Lyon 2–2

Match report

Lyon Brest
18′
🔁 H. Magnetti
↦ H. Belkebla
43′
⚽ I. Cardona 0–1
Half-time 0–1
I. Slimani 🔁
↦ Thiago Mendes
60′
Lucas Paquetá 🔁
↦ R. Cherki
60′
1–1 I. Slimani ⚽
K. Toko Ekambi
62′
64′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ I. Cardona
67′
🟨 Hugo Magnetti
77′
🔁 J. Faussurier
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
78′
🔁 J. Duverne
↦ F. Honorat
Islam Slimani 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
14 L. Dubois D
4 C. Lukeba D
17 M. Gusto D
23 Thiago Mendes M
8 H. Aouar M
25 M. Caqueret M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
9 M. Dembélé F
18 R. Cherki F
Bench (8)
20 I. Slimani
10 Lucas Paquetá
2 S. Diomandé
33 G. Nsombi
28 F. da Silva
11 T. Kadewere
19 H. Keita
30 J. Pollersbeck

Coach: P. Bosz

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
20 J. Uronen D
5 B. Chardonnet D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
3 L. Brassier D
7 H. Belkebla M
21 R. Faivre M
28 H. Mananga Mbock M
15 S. Mounié F
9 F. Honorat M
14 I. Cardona M
Bench (9)
27 H. Magnetti
26 J. Le Douaron
22 J. Faussurier
2 J. Duverne
1 G. Larsonneur
17 D. Bain
33 N. Sow
30 G. Coudert
11 R. Philippoteaux

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,34
🔒
U ✓
5,61
🔒
B
8,11
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,37
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,10
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.