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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Lyon
S S T U T
3–3
Full-time
Clermont
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Clermont
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

55% Possession 45%
21 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 8
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 18. · Clermont 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Angers 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Clermont 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Lens 3 1 2 0 +2 5
5 Nice 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Marseille 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 St Etienne 3 0 3 0 +0 3
10 Reims 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Rennes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Brest 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Lille 3 0 2 1 -4 2
14 Montpellier 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Metz 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Bordeaux 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Monaco 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Lyon 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Troyes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Strasbourg 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Clermont
1–0 M. Dembélé
5′
12′
S. Diomandé 2–0
own goal
3–0 M. Dembélé
21′
Moussa Dembélé ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
22′
Bruno Guimarães 🟨
30′
Half-time 4–0
4–0 Lucas Paquetá
H. Aouar
46′
Karl Toko Ekambi 🟨
48′
52′
🟨 Florent Ogier
60′
🔁 S. Samed
↦ J. Iglesias
69′
🔁 S. Khaoui
↦ J. Berthomier
69′
🔁 E. Rashani
↦ J. Allevinah
M. Gusto 🔁
↦ L. Dubois
73′
T. Kadewere 🔁
↦ Lucas Paquetá
74′
78′
🔁 J. Tell
↦ J. Dossou
79′
🔁 V. N'Simba
↦ A. Mendy
80′
E. Rashani 4–1
M. Bayo
J. Denayer 🔁
↦ D. Da Silva
82′
Thiago Mendes 🔁
↦ Bruno Guimarães
83′
85′
🟨 Salis Abdul Samed
91′
E. Rashani 4–2
J. Gastien
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
21 D. Da Silva D
3 Emerson D
14 L. Dubois D
2 S. Diomandé D
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 H. Aouar M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
25 M. Caqueret M
7 K. Toko Ekambi M
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (9)
17 M. Gusto
11 T. Kadewere
5 J. Denayer
23 Thiago Mendes
19 H. Keita
4 C. Lukeba
30 J. Pollersbeck
12 Henrique
18 R. Cherki

Coach: P. Bosz

Clermont

4-2-3-1
1 A. Desmas G
21 F. Ogier D
4 C. Hountondji D
20 A. Zedadka D
15 A. Mendy D
25 J. Gastien M
10 J. Iglesias M
8 J. Berthomier M
24 J. Dossou M
11 J. Allevinah M
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (9)
19 S. Samed
6 S. Khaoui
18 E. Rashani
9 J. Tell
12 V. N'Simba
17 J. Albert
40 O. Djoco
3 J. Boyer
36 A. Seidu

Coach: P. Gastien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,60
U ✓
4,21
B
5,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.