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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Marseille

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Lille

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 45%

53%

37%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

32%

58%

Both score Ø 58%

42%

74%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,4

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

78% Possession 22%

22 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

15 Corners 2

1 Offside 6

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Marseille 3. · Lille 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	15	5	1	+24	50
2	Nice	21	12	4	5	+16	40
3	Marseille	19	10	6	3	+12	36
4	Rennes	21	10	4	7	+21	34
5	Monaco	21	9	6	6	+10	33
6	Lens	21	9	6	6	+7	33
7	Strasbourg	20	9	5	6	+14	32
8	Montpellier	20	9	4	7	+7	31
9	Lyon	20	7	8	5	+1	29
10	Nantes	21	8	5	8	+1	29
11	Lille	19	7	7	5	+0	28
12	Angers	20	6	8	6	-1	26
13	Brest	21	6	7	8	-7	25
14	Reims	21	5	9	7	-1	24
15	Metz	21	4	7	10	-17	19
16	Clermont	20	4	6	10	-16	18
17	Troyes	20	4	5	11	-11	17
18	Lorient	20	3	8	9	-16	17
19	Bordeaux	21	3	8	10	-20	17
20	St Etienne	20	2	6	12	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Rennes	11	7	1	3	+17	22
3	Monaco	11	6	3	2	+12	21
4	Strasbourg	11	6	2	3	+13	20
5	Montpellier	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	Lens	10	5	4	1	+10	19
7	Nice	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Lyon	10	4	5	1	+6	17
9	Nantes	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+6	16
11	Lille	9	4	4	1	+1	16
12	Angers	9	4	1	4	+0	13
13	Lorient	10	3	4	3	-1	13
14	Reims	10	3	3	4	+0	12
15	Brest	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Clermont	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Troyes	11	2	4	5	-2	10
18	Bordeaux	11	1	4	6	-6	7
19	Metz	10	1	4	5	-7	7
20	St Etienne	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Paris SG	11	6	4	1	+7	22
3	Marseille	9	6	2	1	+6	20
4	Lens	11	4	2	5	-3	14
5	Angers	11	2	7	2	-1	13
6	Brest	11	3	4	4	-4	13
7	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+4	12
8	Strasbourg	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Lille	10	3	3	4	-1	12
10	Reims	11	2	6	3	-1	12
11	Monaco	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Lyon	10	3	3	4	-5	12
14	Metz	11	3	3	5	-10	12
15	Montpellier	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Bordeaux	10	2	4	4	-14	10
17	Clermont	11	2	2	7	-15	8
18	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-9	7
19	St Etienne	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Lorient	10	0	4	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.