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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Montpellier

T S T T S

2–4

Full-time

Rennes

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

44%

48%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

48%

44%

Both score Ø 46%

52%

40%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 9. · Rennes 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	18	5	2	+31	59
2	Nice	25	14	4	7	+16	46
3	Marseille	25	13	7	5	+15	46
4	Strasbourg	25	12	6	7	+17	42
5	Rennes	25	12	4	9	+24	40
6	Lyon	25	10	9	6	+3	39
7	Monaco	25	10	8	7	+11	38
8	Nantes	25	11	5	9	+5	38
9	Montpellier	25	11	4	10	+5	37
10	Lens	25	10	7	8	+4	37
11	Lille	25	9	9	7	-3	36
12	Brest	25	8	8	9	-3	32
13	Angers	25	7	8	10	-6	29
14	Reims	25	6	10	9	-1	28
15	Clermont	25	7	6	12	-15	27
16	St Etienne	25	5	7	13	-21	22
17	Troyes	25	5	6	14	-18	21
18	Lorient	25	4	9	12	-19	21
19	Metz	25	4	9	12	-20	21
20	Bordeaux	25	4	9	12	-25	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Rennes	13	9	1	3	+22	28
3	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+10	26
4	Nantes	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Monaco	13	7	4	2	+14	25
6	Strasbourg	12	7	2	3	+14	23
7	Lens	13	6	5	2	+9	23
8	Montpellier	13	7	2	4	+8	23
9	Nice	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+7	20
11	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
12	Brest	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Reims	12	4	4	4	+5	16
14	Lorient	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Angers	12	5	1	6	-1	16
16	Clermont	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-5	11
19	St Etienne	13	2	5	6	-10	11
20	Metz	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	12	8	2	2	+8	26
2	Nice	12	8	1	3	+13	25
3	Paris SG	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Strasbourg	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Lille	13	4	4	5	-2	16
6	Montpellier	12	4	2	6	-3	14
7	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
8	Brest	13	3	5	5	-6	14
9	Metz	13	3	5	5	-10	14
10	Clermont	13	4	2	7	-12	14
11	Monaco	12	3	4	5	-3	13
12	Angers	13	2	7	4	-5	13
13	Lyon	12	3	4	5	-7	13
14	Rennes	12	3	3	6	+2	12
15	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
16	Reims	13	2	6	5	-6	12
17	St Etienne	12	3	2	7	-11	11
18	Troyes	13	3	1	9	-16	10
19	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-20	10
20	Lorient	13	0	5	8	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.