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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Rennes
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Montpellier
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
31%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
38%
62%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%
30 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rennes 5. · Montpellier 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 14 12 1 1 +18 37
2 Nice 13 7 3 3 +13 24
3 Lens 13 7 3 3 +11 24
4 Marseille 13 6 5 2 +8 23
5 Rennes 13 6 4 3 +10 22
6 Montpellier 13 5 4 4 +2 19
7 Monaco 14 5 4 5 +1 19
8 Lyon 13 5 4 4 +0 19
9 Strasbourg 13 5 3 5 +6 18
10 Angers 13 4 6 3 +3 18
11 Nantes 14 5 3 6 +0 18
12 Lille 14 4 5 5 -3 17
13 Lorient 13 3 6 4 -7 15
14 Troyes 13 3 4 6 -8 13
15 Clermont 13 3 4 6 -10 13
16 Reims 13 2 6 5 -3 12
17 Brest 13 2 6 5 -5 12
18 Bordeaux 13 2 6 5 -9 12
19 St Etienne 13 1 6 6 -13 9
20 Metz 13 1 5 7 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Montpellier
3′
🟨 Teji Savanier
6′
🟨 Florent Mollet
1–0 M. Terrier
H. Traoré
8′
2–0 L. Majer
G. Laborde
28′
41′
🟨 Teji Savanier
41′
🟥 Teji Savanier
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Makouana
↦ V. Germain
46′
🔁 E. Wahi
↦ N. Gioacchini
73′
🔁 N. Cozza
↦ M. Esteve
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ L. Majer
83′
L. Assignon 🔁
↦ H. Traoré
83′
Flavien Tait 🟨
86′
B. Meling 🔁
↦ A. Truffert
88′
89′
🔁 Thuler
↦ M. Ristić
89′
🔁 S. Delaye
↦ J. Chotard
L. Ugochukwu 🔁
↦ J. Martin
91′
J. Doku 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-3-3
16 A. Gomis G
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
4 L. Badé D
3 A. Truffert D
28 J. Martin M
20 F. Tait M
14 B. Bourigeaud F
21 L. Majer M
24 G. Laborde F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
9 S. Guirassy
22 L. Assignon
25 B. Meling
26 L. Ugochukwu
11 J. Doku
18 M. Abline
17 L. Tchaouna
1 R. Salin
19 A. Diouf

Coach: B. Génésio

Montpellier

4-4-2
1 J. Omlin G
3 M. Sakho D
7 M. Ristić D
14 M. Esteve D
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier M
6 S. Sambia D
13 J. Chotard M
9 V. Germain F
10 S. Mavididi F
23 N. Gioacchini M
Bench (9)
28 B. Makouana
21 E. Wahi
31 N. Cozza
26 Thuler
34 S. Delaye
18 L. Leroy
2 A. Souquet
16 D. Bertaud
8 A. Oyongo

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,45
B
5,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.