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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Rennes
T T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Brest
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 39%
45%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
41%
68%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 7. · Brest 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 22 16 5 1 +28 53
2 Nice 23 13 4 6 +17 43
3 Marseille 23 12 7 4 +16 43
4 Strasbourg 23 11 5 7 +16 38
5 Monaco 23 10 6 7 +11 36
6 Lyon 23 9 8 6 +1 35
7 Rennes 22 10 4 8 +20 34
8 Montpellier 23 10 4 9 +5 34
9 Lens 23 9 6 8 +3 33
10 Nantes 23 9 5 9 +2 32
11 Lille 22 8 8 6 +0 32
12 Angers 23 7 8 8 -4 29
13 Brest 22 7 7 8 -5 28
14 Reims 23 6 9 8 +0 27
15 Clermont 23 6 6 11 -16 24
16 Troyes 23 5 6 12 -11 21
17 Lorient 23 4 8 11 -18 20
18 Metz 23 4 8 11 -19 20
19 Bordeaux 23 4 8 11 -24 20
20 St Etienne 23 4 6 13 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Aug -21 Brest – Rennes 1–1 17. Jan -21 Brest – Rennes 1–2 31. Oct -20 Rennes – Brest 2–1 8. Feb -20 Rennes – Brest 0–0 14. Sep -19 Brest – Rennes 0–0

Match report

Rennes Brest
Jonas Martin 🟨
1′
1–0 G. Laborde ⚽
L. Majer
20′
Baptiste Santamaria 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ S. Mounié
52′
🟨 Romain Del Castillo
Martin Terrier 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ Y. Belaïli
60′
🔁 M. Satriano
↦ J. Le Douaron
K. Sulemana 🔁
↦ B. Bourigeaud
80′
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
80′
A. Truffert 🔁
↦ L. Majer
86′
L. Badé 🔁
↦ W. Omari
89′
2–0 M. Terrier ⚽
L. Badé
90′
91′
🔁 R. Said Ahamada
↦ F. Honorat
91′
🔁 H. Mananga Mbock
↦ H. Magnetti
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-3-3
40 D. Alemdar G
27 H. Traoré D
25 B. Meling D
6 N. Aguerd D
23 W. Omari D
28 J. Martin M
14 B. Bourigeaud F
8 B. Santamaría M
21 L. Majer M
24 G. Laborde F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
10 K. Sulemana
9 S. Guirassy
3 A. Truffert
4 L. Badé
19 A. Diouf
30 P. Bonet
39 M. Tel
22 L. Assignon
17 L. Tchaouna

Coach: B. Génésio

Brest

4-4-2
40 M. Bizot G
23 C. Hérelle D
5 B. Chardonnet D
2 J. Duverne D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
7 H. Belkebla M
27 H. Magnetti M
24 Y. Belaïli M
15 S. Mounié F
9 F. Honorat M
26 J. Le Douaron F
Bench (9)
25 R. Del Castillo
14 I. Cardona
11 M. Satriano
19 R. Said Ahamada
28 H. Mananga Mbock
1 G. Larsonneur
3 L. Brassier
22 J. Faussurier
20 J. Uronen

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
🔒
U
4,48
🔒
B
6,45
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,74
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,11
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.