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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Nantes

U S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Lille

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

10 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 11

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 12. · Lille 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Reims	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Brest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Reims	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.