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Serie B
Referee: D Massa
Parma
T T U S S
2–2
Full-time
Bari
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Parma Bari
3′
🟨 Emanuele Terranova
1–0 D. Man ⚽
F. Vázquez
3′
Nahuel Estévez 🟨
8′
11′
⚽ M. Antenucci 1–1
35′
⚽ M. Folorunsho 1–2
W. Cheddira
Lautaro Valenti 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Walid Cheddira
Half-time 1–2
S. Jurić 🔁
↦ N. Estévez
46′
Valentin Mihăilă 🟨
47′
2–2 V. Mihăilă ⚽
47′
Adrián Bernabé 🟨
54′
S. Sohm 🔁
↦ R. Inglese
57′
A. Benedyczak 🔁
↦ Adrián Bernabé
71′
D. Camara 🔁
↦ D. Man
71′
71′
🔁 A. Mallamo
↦ R. Botta
G. Tutino 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
76′
79′
🟨 Alessandro Mallamo
82′
🔁 C. Galano
↦ M. Folorunsho
82′
🔁 G. Cangiano
↦ W. Cheddira
Enrico Del Prato 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 M. Bosisio
↦ M. Antenucci
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Parma

4-2-3-1
22 L. Chichizola G
15 E. Del Prato D
5 S. Romagnoli D
30 L. Valenti D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
8 N. Estévez M
16 Adrián Bernabé M
98 D. Man M
10 F. Vázquez M
28 V. Mihăilă M
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
24 S. Jurić
19 S. Sohm
7 A. Benedyczak
23 D. Camara
11 G. Tutino
26 W. Coulibaly
44 F. Borriello
47 V. Zagaritis
13 A. Bonny
4 B. Balogh
39 A. Circati
40 E. Corvi

Coach: F. Pecchia

Bari

4-3-3
18 E. Caprile G
25 R. Pucino D
6 V. Di Cesare D
20 E. Terranova D
31 G. Ricci D
4 M. Maita M
17 R. Maiello M
90 M. Folorunsho M
10 R. Botta F
7 M. Antenucci F
11 W. Cheddira F
Bench (11)
99 A. Mallamo
19 C. Galano
74 G. Cangiano
44 M. Bosisio
13 G. Gigliotti
22 E. Polverino
93 M. Dorval
1 P. Frattali
27 A. Mazzotta
9 A. D'Errico
63 N. Bellomo

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
🔒
U ✓
3,40
🔒
B
4,22
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,04
🔒
U2,5
1,77
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.