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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Famalicao
U S S S T
0–3
Full-time
Sp Braga
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 24
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Famalicao 16. · Sp Braga 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Estoril 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Boavista 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Vizela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Guimaraes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sp Braga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sp Lisbon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Santa Clara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Casa Pia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Portimonense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Chaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Famalicao 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Arouca 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Sp Braga
13′
Nuno Sequeira 0–1
18′
S. Banza 0–2
Dylan Batubinsika 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Fabiano Silva
S. Colombatto 🔁
↦ André Simões
61′
Pelé 🔁
↦ Gustavo Assunção
61′
61′
🔁 Álvaro Djaló
↦ Vítinha
73′
🔁 D. Lainez
↦ Iuri Medeiros
73′
🔁 Castro
↦ André Horta
Rui Fonte 🔁
↦ Álex Millán
75′
Théo Fonseca 🔁
↦ Z. Youssouf
75′
79′
S. Banza 0–3
Gustavo Sá 🔁
↦ J. Kadile
80′
82′
🔁 Abel Ruiz
↦ S. Banza
83′
🔁 Dinis Pinto
↦ Fabiano
Hernán de la Fuente 🟨
93′
Gustavo Sá 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Famalicao

4-3-3
31 Luíz Júnior G
22 H. De La Fuente D
21 D. Batubinsika D
6 Alexandre Penetra D
5 Rúben Lima D
28 Z. Youssouf M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
8 André Simões M
91 Heriberto Tavares F
9 Álex Millán F
14 J. Kadile F
Bench (9)
97 S. Colombatto
25 Pelé
17 Rui Fonte
95 Théo Fonseca
20 Gustavo Sá
3 O. Beck
66 Cláudio Silva
11 Pedro Brazão
1 I. Zlobin

Coach: Rui Pedro Silva

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
70 Fabiano D
3 Vítor Tormena D
4 S. Niakaté D
6 Nuno Sequeira D
45 Iuri Medeiros M
10 André Horta M
8 Ali Musrati M
21 Ricardo Horta M
23 S. Banza F
99 Vítinha F
Bench (9)
14 Álvaro Djaló
18 D. Lainez
88 Castro
9 Abel Ruiz
76 Dinis Pinto
25 Lucas Mineiro
12 Tiago Sá
7 Rodrigo Gomes
15 Paulo Oliveira

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,56
U
3,53
B ✓
2,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.