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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Troyes

S T U T T

3–0

Full-time

Lille

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 31%

24%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

35%

47%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

59%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

9 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Troyes 16. · Lille 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	35	24	7	4	+45	79
2	Marseille	34	19	8	7	+23	65
3	Rennes	35	19	5	11	+41	62
4	Monaco	34	17	8	9	+20	59
5	Nice	34	17	7	10	+14	58
6	Strasbourg	35	15	12	8	+19	57
7	Lens	35	15	10	10	+11	55
8	Lyon	34	14	11	9	+11	53
9	Nantes	35	14	9	12	+7	51
10	Lille	34	13	12	9	+2	51
11	Brest	34	12	9	13	-5	45
12	Montpellier	34	12	6	16	-5	42
13	Reims	34	9	13	12	-1	40
14	Angers	34	8	11	15	-13	35
15	Lorient	34	8	10	16	-24	34
16	Troyes	34	8	9	17	-17	33
17	Clermont	34	8	9	17	-28	33
18	St Etienne	35	7	10	18	-32	31
19	Bordeaux	34	5	12	17	-37	27
20	Metz	34	4	12	18	-31	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	15	2	0	+32	47
2	Rennes	18	13	1	4	+35	40
3	Strasbourg	18	10	5	3	+17	35
4	Lyon	18	10	5	3	+16	35
5	Monaco	17	10	4	3	+18	34
6	Lens	18	9	6	3	+15	33
7	Nantes	17	10	3	4	+12	33
8	Nice	17	9	4	4	+6	31
9	Marseille	17	8	5	4	+10	29
10	Lille	17	7	7	3	+3	28
11	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+5	25
12	Lorient	16	6	5	5	+2	23
13	Brest	16	6	4	6	+0	22
14	Reims	17	5	6	6	+4	21
15	Angers	17	6	2	9	-5	20
16	Troyes	17	4	7	6	-1	19
17	St Etienne	18	4	6	8	-13	18
18	Bordeaux	17	3	6	8	-7	15
19	Clermont	17	3	6	8	-11	15
20	Metz	17	1	7	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	17	11	3	3	+13	36
2	Paris SG	18	9	5	4	+13	32
3	Nice	17	8	3	6	+8	27
4	Monaco	17	7	4	6	+2	25
5	Lille	17	6	5	6	-1	23
6	Brest	18	6	5	7	-5	23
7	Rennes	17	6	4	7	+6	22
8	Strasbourg	17	5	7	5	+2	22
9	Lens	17	6	4	7	-4	22
10	Reims	17	4	7	6	-5	19
11	Nantes	18	4	6	8	-5	18
12	Lyon	16	4	6	6	-5	18
13	Clermont	17	5	3	9	-17	18
14	Montpellier	17	5	2	10	-10	17
15	Angers	17	2	9	6	-8	15
16	Troyes	17	4	2	11	-16	14
17	Metz	17	3	5	9	-19	14
18	St Etienne	17	3	4	10	-19	13
19	Bordeaux	17	2	6	9	-30	12
20	Lorient	18	2	5	11	-26	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.