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Premier League

Referee: David Coote

Everton

U U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Brighton

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 31%

33%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 55%

57%

52%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Everton 11. · Brighton 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	20	19	1	0	+35	58
2	Leicester	21	14	3	4	+27	45
3	Man City	21	14	2	5	+32	44
4	Chelsea	21	11	3	7	+7	36
5	Sheffield United	22	8	8	6	+3	32
6	Man United	21	8	7	6	+7	31
7	Tottenham	21	8	6	7	+6	30
8	Wolves	21	7	9	5	+3	30
9	Crystal Palace	22	7	8	7	-4	29
10	Arsenal	22	6	10	6	-2	28
11	Everton	21	7	4	10	-8	25
12	Southampton	21	7	4	10	-13	25
13	Newcastle	21	7	4	10	-13	25
14	Brighton	21	6	6	9	-4	24
15	Burnley	21	7	3	11	-10	24
16	West Ham	21	6	4	11	-8	22
17	Aston Villa	21	6	3	12	-10	21
18	Bournemouth	21	5	5	11	-12	20
19	Watford	21	4	7	10	-17	19
20	Norwich	21	3	5	13	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	11	11	0	0	+20	33
2	Man City	11	8	1	2	+19	25
3	Leicester	10	7	2	1	+10	23
4	Tottenham	10	6	2	2	+11	20
5	Man United	10	5	4	1	+10	19
6	Sheffield United	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	Everton	10	5	2	3	+1	17
8	Brighton	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Wolves	10	4	4	2	+2	16
10	Arsenal	11	4	4	3	+0	16
11	Crystal Palace	11	4	4	3	+0	16
12	Newcastle	11	4	4	3	-1	16
13	Burnley	11	5	0	6	-3	15
14	Chelsea	10	4	2	4	+1	14
15	Aston Villa	10	4	2	4	-1	14
16	Watford	11	3	4	4	-3	13
17	Southampton	11	3	2	6	-14	11
18	West Ham	10	3	1	6	-3	10
19	Bournemouth	10	2	4	4	-4	10
20	Norwich	11	2	3	6	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	9	8	1	0	+15	25
2	Leicester	11	7	1	3	+17	22
3	Chelsea	11	7	1	3	+6	22
4	Man City	10	6	1	3	+13	19
5	Sheffield United	11	3	6	2	+0	15
6	Wolves	11	3	5	3	+1	14
7	Southampton	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Crystal Palace	11	3	4	4	-4	13
9	Arsenal	11	2	6	3	-2	12
10	Man United	11	3	3	5	-3	12
11	West Ham	11	3	3	5	-5	12
12	Tottenham	11	2	4	5	-5	10
13	Bournemouth	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Burnley	10	2	3	5	-7	9
15	Newcastle	10	3	0	7	-12	9
16	Brighton	10	2	2	6	-7	8
17	Everton	11	2	2	7	-9	8
18	Aston Villa	11	2	1	8	-9	7
19	Watford	10	1	3	6	-14	6
20	Norwich	10	1	2	7	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.