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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Boavista
T S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Famalicao
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
19%
81%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
1,8
3,6
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 25
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Boavista 10. · Famalicao 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 17 16 0 1 +35 48
2 Porto 17 14 2 1 +29 44
3 Famalicao 16 9 3 4 +7 30
4 Sp Lisbon 15 8 2 5 +8 26
5 Rio Ave 17 7 4 6 +2 25
6 Guimaraes 16 5 7 4 +6 22
7 Sp Braga 16 6 3 7 +4 21
8 Tondela 16 5 5 6 -3 20
9 Gil Vicente 16 4 7 5 -2 19
10 Boavista 16 4 7 5 -2 19
11 Setubal 15 4 7 4 -5 19
12 Vitoria Setubal 15 4 7 4 -5 19
13 Maritimo 16 4 7 5 -7 19
14 Moreirense 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Santa Clara 17 4 6 7 -8 18
16 Portimonense 17 2 9 6 -9 15
17 Pacos Ferreira 17 4 3 10 -12 15
18 Belenenses 15 4 3 8 -16 15
19 Aves 17 2 0 15 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Famalicao
1′
🟥 Rafael Defendi
7′
🔁 Vaná
↦ Ivo Pinto
20′
🟨 Pote
Nikola Stojiljković 🟨
26′
Carraça 🔁
↦ Fabiano
26′
42′
🟨 Diogo Gonçalves
Half-time 0–0
Neris 🟨
50′
Rafael Costa 🟨
57′
Y. Njie 🔁
↦ Rafael Costa
67′
71′
🟨 Riccieli
71′
🔁 Toni Martínez
↦ Anderson Silva
77′
🔁 Roderick Miranda
↦ Fábio Martins
81′
Toni Martínez 0–1
Pedro Gonçalves
Carraça 🟨
82′
Mateus 🔁
↦ Heriberto Tavares
83′
Marlon 🟥
84′
84′
🟨 Toni Martínez
Nwankwo Obiora 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Boavista

4-3-3
90 Helton Leite G
18 Fabiano D
27 Neris D
6 Marlon Xavier D
22 Ricardo Costa D
4 N. Obiora M
23 Rafael Costa M
30 Paulinho M
14 Alberto Bueno F
19 N. Stojiljković F
91 Heriberto Tavares F
Bench (7)
17 Carraça
11 Y. Njie
9 Mateus
3 Lucas Tagliapietra
8 Gustavo
88 Y. Ackah
1 Rafael Bracalli

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Famalicao

4-3-3
1 Rafael Defendi G
2 Ivo Pinto D
15 Riccieli D
97 Patrick William D
32 Álex Centelles D
69 U. Račić M
28 Pedro Gonçalves M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
11 Fábio Martins F
17 Diogo Gonçalves F
33 Anderson Silva F
Bench (7)
26 Vaná
19 Toni Martínez
23 Roderick Miranda
10 Rúben Lameiras
8 L. Ofori
7 Walterson
6 Guga

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U
3,33
B ✓
3,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.