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Ligue 1

Referee: M Bollengier

Marseille

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Strasbourg

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 38%

41%

35%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

59%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,36 xG 1,19

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 6. · Strasbourg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	12	4	1	+28	+18.2	40
2	Nice	17	10	5	2	+10	+9.2	35
3	Monaco	17	10	3	4	+11	+6.2	33
4	Brest	17	9	4	4	+10	+3.7	31
5	Lille	17	7	7	3	+7	+6.5	28
6	Marseille	17	7	6	4	+7	+13.4	27
7	Lens	17	7	5	5	+4	+1.4	26
8	Reims	17	8	2	7	-1	+3.2	26
9	Strasbourg	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.6	23
10	Rennes	17	4	7	6	+1	+6.0	19
11	Montpellier	17	4	7	6	-2	+3.1	19
12	Le Havre	17	4	7	6	-3	-7.2	19
13	Nantes	17	5	3	9	-9	-8.6	18
14	Lyon	17	4	4	9	-11	-6.0	16
15	Metz	17	4	4	9	-11	-12.3	16
16	Toulouse	17	2	8	7	-8	-10.7	14
17	Lorient	17	2	6	9	-14	-10.8	12
18	Clermont	17	2	5	10	-15	-12.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	1	1	+17	+10.2	22
2	Nice	9	6	3	0	+9	+6.2	21
3	Marseille	8	6	2	0	+12	+10.2	20
4	Monaco	8	6	0	2	+10	+4.7	18
5	Lens	8	5	2	1	+8	+6.0	17
6	Lille	8	5	2	1	+7	+7.4	17
7	Brest	8	4	3	1	+8	+6.7	15
8	Strasbourg	9	4	3	2	+3	+2.1	15
9	Reims	8	5	0	3	+1	+4.5	15
10	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+4	+6.3	12
11	Nantes	9	3	3	3	+1	-1.6	12
12	Le Havre	8	3	2	3	+1	+3.2	11
13	Montpellier	9	1	6	2	-1	+4.3	9
14	Lorient	9	2	3	4	-3	-4.6	9
15	Lyon	9	2	3	4	-5	+0.1	9
16	Toulouse	8	1	5	2	+1	-0.5	8
17	Metz	8	1	3	4	-2	-1.6	6
18	Clermont	9	1	2	6	-9	-5.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	5	3	0	+11	+8.0	18
2	Brest	9	5	1	3	+2	-3.0	16
3	Monaco	9	4	3	2	+1	+1.5	15
4	Nice	8	4	2	2	+1	+3.0	14
5	Lille	9	2	5	2	+0	-0.9	11
6	Reims	9	3	2	4	-2	-1.4	11
7	Montpellier	8	3	1	4	-1	-1.2	10
8	Metz	9	3	1	5	-9	-10.8	10
9	Lens	9	2	3	4	-4	-4.6	9
10	Le Havre	9	1	5	3	-4	-10.3	8
11	Strasbourg	8	2	2	4	-7	-4.8	8
12	Rennes	8	1	4	3	-3	-0.3	7
13	Marseille	9	1	4	4	-5	+3.2	7
14	Lyon	8	2	1	5	-6	-6.0	7
15	Clermont	8	1	3	4	-6	-7.1	6
16	Toulouse	9	1	3	5	-9	-10.2	6
17	Nantes	8	2	0	6	-10	-7.0	6
18	Lorient	8	0	3	5	-11	-6.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.