Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lille
Lorient
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | +28 | +18.2 | 40 |
| 2 |
Nice
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +8 | +7.8 | 35 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +9 | +5.8 | 33 |
| 4 |
Brest
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +10 | +3.7 | 31 |
| 5 |
Reims
|
18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +1 | +3.5 | 29 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +7 | +13.6 | 28 |
| 7 |
Lille
|
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | +7 | +6.5 | 28 |
| 8 |
Lens
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +4 | +1.4 | 26 |
| 9 |
Strasbourg
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -4 | -2.8 | 24 |
| 10 |
Rennes
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +3 | +7.4 | 22 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -2 | +3.1 | 19 |
| 12 |
Le Havre
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -3 | -7.2 | 19 |
| 13 |
Nantes
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -9 | -8.6 | 18 |
| 14 |
Lyon
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -11 | -6.0 | 16 |
| 15 |
Metz
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -11 | -12.3 | 16 |
| 16 |
Toulouse
|
17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -8 | -10.7 | 14 |
| 17 |
Lorient
|
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -14 | -10.8 | 12 |
| 18 |
Clermont
|
17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -15 | -12.6 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Chevalier
G
Tiago Santos
D
L. Yoro
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
B. André
M
A. Gomes
M
E. Zhegrova
M
Y. Yazıcı
M
G. Gudmundsson
M
J. David
F
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Y. Mvogo
G
A. Pelon
D
S. Touré
D
T. Le Bris
M
J. Ponceau
F
A. Tosin
F
Coach: R. Le Bris
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lille
Golden Lion
Strasbourg
Lille
Lille
Paris SG
Lille
KI Klaksvik
Clermont
Lille
P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.