← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: P Gaillouste
Lille
U S U T S
3–0
Full-time
Lorient
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lille Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
0,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
41%
12%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
24%
65%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
59%
Average goals
2,1
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,29 xG 0,12
62% Possession 38%
24 Shots 1
10 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 7. · Lorient 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 12 4 1 +28 +18.2 40
2 Nice 18 10 5 3 +8 +7.8 35
3 Monaco 18 10 3 5 +9 +5.8 33
4 Brest 17 9 4 4 +10 +3.7 31
5 Reims 18 9 2 7 +1 +3.5 29
6 Marseille 18 7 7 4 +7 +13.6 28
7 Lille 17 7 7 3 +7 +6.5 28
8 Lens 17 7 5 5 +4 +1.4 26
9 Strasbourg 18 6 6 6 -4 -2.8 24
10 Rennes 18 5 7 6 +3 +7.4 22
11 Montpellier 17 4 7 6 -2 +3.1 19
12 Le Havre 17 4 7 6 -3 -7.2 19
13 Nantes 17 5 3 9 -9 -8.6 18
14 Lyon 17 4 4 9 -11 -6.0 16
15 Metz 17 4 4 9 -11 -12.3 16
16 Toulouse 17 2 8 7 -8 -10.7 14
17 Lorient 17 2 6 9 -14 -10.8 12
18 Clermont 17 2 5 10 -15 -12.6 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Lorient
30′
🟨 Théo Le Bris
1–0 J. David
A. Gomes
37′
Benjamin André 🟨
40′
41′
🟨 Tiemoué Bakayoko
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Kroupi
↦ A. Tosin
55′
🟨 Aurelien Pelon
75′
🔁 R. Openda
↦ A. Kari
75′
🔁 J. Mvuka
↦ T. Bakayoko
R. Cabella 🔁
↦ Y. Yazıcı
77′
84′
🔁 G. Caoki
↦ T. Le Bris
88′
🟨 Souleymane Isaak Touré
2–0 R. Cabella
90′
3–0 E. Zhegrova
Tiago Santos
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
22 Tiago Santos D
15 L. Yoro D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
31 Ismaily D
21 B. André M
8 A. Gomes M
23 E. Zhegrova M
12 Y. Yazıcı M
5 G. Gudmundsson M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
10 R. Cabella
14 S. Umtiti
1 V. Mannone
7 H. Haraldsson
34 A. Malouda
20 I. Miramón
37 A. Messoussa
13 A. Zedadka
32 A. Bouaddi

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Lorient

3-4-3
38 Y. Mvogo G
4 L. Mouyokolo D
33 A. Pelon D
95 S. Touré D
2 Igor Silva M
14 T. Bakayoko M
19 L. Abergel M
37 T. Le Bris M
21 J. Ponceau F
27 A. Tosin F
44 A. Kari F
Bench (9)
22 E. Kroupi
36 R. Openda
93 J. Mvuka
34 G. Caoki
35 A. Avom
8 B. Innocent
20 D. Sylla
39 C. Mabanza
94 D. Youfeigane

Coach: R. Le Bris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,95
B
8,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.