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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Lorient

T T S U U

4–1

Full-time

Lille

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,45 xG 1,07

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 18

6 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 13. · Lille 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+5	+3.5	7
2	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
3	Reims	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.1	6
4	Brest	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.2	6
5	Strasbourg	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.0	6
6	Rennes	3	1	2	0	+4	+7.2	5
7	Paris SG	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.1	5
8	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+1	+2.6	4
10	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.8	4
11	Metz	3	1	1	1	-3	-4.8	4
12	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
13	Lorient	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
14	Le Havre	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.2	2
15	Lens	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.3	1
16	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.7	1
17	Lyon	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.1	0
18	Clermont	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.7	6
2	Strasbourg	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+4	+6.7	4
4	Paris SG	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.2	4
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.5	3
6	Reims	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
7	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
8	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
9	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
13	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
14	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.5	1
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
16	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
17	Clermont	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.3	0
18	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	4
2	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Reims	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
4	Brest	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
5	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.9	3
6	Metz	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.4	3
7	Le Havre	2	0	2	0	+0	-3.3	2
8	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
9	Paris SG	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
13	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
14	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
15	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
17	Lens	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.9	0
18	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.