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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Cartagena
U S T T T
4–1
Full-time
Villarreal B
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Villarreal B
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Villarreal B 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 22 12 6 4 +19 42
2 Ferrol 22 10 8 4 +6 38
3 Sp Gijon 21 9 8 4 +11 35
4 Espanol 22 9 8 5 +10 35
5 Eibar 22 10 5 7 +9 35
6 Levante 22 9 8 5 +2 35
7 Valladolid 22 11 2 9 +1 35
8 Santander 22 9 6 7 +5 33
9 Burgos 22 9 6 7 +3 33
10 Elche 22 9 6 7 +0 33
11 Oviedo 22 7 10 5 +7 31
12 Tenerife 22 9 4 9 +0 31
13 Mirandes 22 7 8 7 +1 29
14 Zaragoza 21 7 7 7 +0 28
15 Eldense 21 6 8 7 -5 26
16 Albacete 22 6 7 9 -7 25
17 Villarreal B 21 6 6 9 -7 24
18 Andorra 22 6 5 11 -9 23
19 Huesca 21 5 7 9 -2 22
20 Alcorcon 22 5 6 11 -14 21
21 Amorebieta 22 3 7 12 -13 16
22 Cartagena 21 3 6 12 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Villarreal B
Luis Muñoz 🟨
-5′
15′
🟨 Rodrigo Alonso
J. Narváez 🔁
↦ Luis Muñoz
33′
Marc Martínez 🟨
37′
38′
Javi Ontiveros 0–1
39′
🟨 Javier Ontiveros
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Alfredo Ortuño
57′
Tomás Alarcón 🟨
66′
1–2 Alberto del Moral
own goal
69′
2–2 J. Narváez
Jairo Izquierdo
72′
L. de León 🔁
↦ Iván Ayllón
75′
75′
🔁 Espigares
↦ S. Leković
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
76′
76′
🔁 Diego Collado
↦ Rodri Alonso
3–2 T. Alarcón
82′
83′
🔁 A. Ferrari
↦ Jorge Pascual
83′
🔁 Reque
↦ Carlo Adriano
M. Cellou 🔁
↦ T. Alarcón
87′
Jony Álamo 🔁
↦ Andy Rodríguez
87′
90′
🔁 Aitor Gelardo
↦ Lanchi
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-1-4-1
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
18 D. Musto M
8 Luis Muñoz M
23 T. Alarcón M
6 Andy Rodríguez M
35 Iván Ayllón M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (9)
12 J. Narváez
29 L. de León
17 Mikel Rico
41 M. Cellou
32 Jony Álamo
13 Raúl Lizoain
22 Kiko Olivas
48 Jhafets Christ
19 Úmaro Embaló

Coach: Julián Calero

Villarreal B

4-4-2
1 Iker Álvarez G
16 Lanchi D
12 S. Leković D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
3 Dani Tasende D
21 Rodri Alonso M
6 Alberto del Moral M
8 Carlo Adriano M
10 Javi Ontiveros M
9 Álex Forés F
11 Jorge Pascual F
Bench (9)
29 Espigares
7 Diego Collado
24 A. Ferrari
27 Reque
14 Aitor Gelardo
15 Marcos Sánchez
5 Abraham del Moral
13 Miguel Ángel Morro
22 T. Geralnik

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,33
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.