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Ligue 1

Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Auxerre

T S T T U

0–1

Full-time

Le Havre

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Le Havre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

25%

13%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 0,94

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Auxerre 15. · Le Havre 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	6	2	1	+11	+5.6	20
2	Lens	9	6	1	2	+6	+4.6	19
3	Marseille	9	6	0	3	+13	+8.1	18
4	Lille	9	5	2	2	+11	+6.9	17
5	Monaco	9	5	2	2	+5	+5.2	17
6	Strasbourg	8	5	1	2	+7	+6.1	16
7	Lyon	8	5	0	3	+3	+6.5	15
8	Toulouse	9	4	1	4	+2	+0.6	13
9	Rennes	8	2	5	1	-1	-3.2	11
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.5	11
11	Paris FC	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.1	10
12	Brest	9	2	3	4	-3	+0.3	9
13	Nantes	9	2	3	4	-3	-7.5	9
14	Lorient	8	2	2	4	-7	-1.9	8
15	Auxerre	8	2	1	5	-5	-2.8	7
16	Le Havre	8	1	3	4	-6	-1.2	6
17	Angers	8	1	3	4	-8	-7.5	6
18	Metz	9	0	2	7	-20	-12.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+7	+7.0	13
2	Marseille	4	4	0	0	+12	+8.0	12
3	Lens	5	4	0	1	+6	+6.8	12
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	+6	+4.8	10
5	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+5	+3.1	10
6	Nice	5	3	1	1	+3	-2.1	10
7	Strasbourg	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.8	9
8	Lyon	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.1	9
9	Rennes	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.9	8
10	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.0	7
11	Lorient	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.6	7
12	Paris FC	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.9	6
13	Auxerre	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.0	6
14	Le Havre	4	1	2	1	+1	+4.6	5
15	Brest	5	1	2	2	-1	+2.0	5
16	Angers	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.4	5
17	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.9	4
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.5	10
2	Lille	4	2	1	1	+5	+2.1	7
3	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.3	7
4	Lens	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.2	7
5	Marseille	5	2	0	3	+1	+0.0	6
6	Lyon	4	2	0	2	-1	+1.4	6
7	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	-1	-2.4	6
8	Nantes	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.6	5
9	Brest	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
10	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.9	4
11	Paris FC	5	1	1	3	-4	-3.0	4
12	Rennes	4	0	3	1	-4	-4.1	3
13	Nice	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.5	1
14	Auxerre	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.8	1
15	Le Havre	4	0	1	3	-7	-5.8	1
16	Angers	4	0	1	3	-7	-6.1	1
17	Lorient	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.5	1
18	Metz	5	0	0	5	-16	-9.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.